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TRUMP SURGES TO 63.8% WIN PROBABILITY
Recent polls show Trump gaining a significant edge over Kamala in the 2024 presidential race.
The Silver Bulletin's forecast now gives Trump a 63.8% chance of winning, while Kamala's probability has dropped to 36.0%.
A New York Times/Siena College national poll paints an even starker picture, giving Trump a 99.7% chance of winning the Electoral College despite a narrow 48% to 47% lead in the popular vote.
Polymarket's prediction market reflects a similar trend, with Trump at 51% (+1%) and Kamala at 47% (-2%).
Their electoral map shows Trump leading in key battleground states.
Sources: Silver Bulletin, New York Times/Siena College, Polymarket