$BTC

Why are we falling and why do I think there will be no deep correction?

🗣The first is, of course, geopolitics, risks are growing again in the Middle East,

🗣The second is additional liquidity from the US government and mt GOX.

🗣A crisis of narratives, nothing very positive will happen in the next 2 months, and the seasonality in those months also does not give anything positive.

🗣Fears that key rates will be lowered will bring negativity to the market, as has been the case historically.

Why these are not big problems?

💡Geopolitics. I don't want to delve into possible options, but in the basic version, I expect a repetition of the option as it was in April, after which the situation cooled down.

💡The market will absorb the liquidity here and as in the past, as we saw in the story with the sales of the German government.

💡I think there will be narratives, and seasonality does not show us a deep correction, only consolidation.

💡I consider that the negative will be only in snp500 and then very short-term. In general, lowering rates is positive, both for business and for risky assets such as cryptocurrencies