TL:DR;

Dogecoin was once the top-performing cryptocurrency after Donald Trump’s victory, going from under $0.15 to almost $0.5.

Although it has lost its momentum, especially in the past week or so, history shows that its most spectacular price surge during this cycle could still be around the corner.

DOGEUSD. Source: TradingView Can DOGE Pull a 2021-Like Rally?

Perhaps due to its affiliation with Elon Musk and his upcoming role in Donald Trump’s administration, Dogecoin skyrocketed after the US presidential elections. Its price exploded by more than 200% from its aforementioned bottom to $0.485 on December 8.

After these quite impressive gains, though, DOGE started to retrace but still maintained the $0.4 level. However, that all changed last week when the market-wide crash pushed it south hard. In just a few days, DOGE’s price tumbled by nearly 40% to $0.26.

Although such a massive correction sounds painful, it is not something unheard of for the crypto market, especially in the ever-volatile meme coin sector. Similar enhanced fluctuations have transpired in the past as well, which could actually suggest a more favorable future for DOGE.

Popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez compared the recent crash to similar developments that took place during the bull cycles in 2017 and 2021. In both instances, the largest meme coin surged by triple-digits, retraced by 40-60%, and then shot up by four or even five digits by the end of the respective runs.

In 2017, when #Dogecoin began a parabolic run, it surged 212%, retraced 40%, then rallied 5,000%. In 2021, it went up 476%, retraced 56%, then skyrocketed 12,000%.

Now, in 2024, $DOGE is up 440% and has retraced by 46%. If history repeats, another parabolic rally is on the way! pic.twitter.com/uhf2kMc0Id

— Ali (@ali_charts) December 23, 2024

Can DOGE Soar Above $10?

Skyrocketing by 5,000% or 12,000% sounds quite bullish, but let’s look at these predictions more realistically. In 2017 and 2021, DOGE’s price was a lot more modest, and posting such massive gains seemed easier, at least on paper.

If the OG meme coin is to surge by similar percentages from now on, its price and market cap would have to go to the stratosphere. For example, a 5,000% increase would put its price at over $13, and the market cap would be at over $1.9 trillion – or bigger than bitcoin’s current one.

If DOGE repeats the 2021 gains, then its price would go all the way up to $31-32, and its market capitalization would be north of $4.5 trillion – bigger than Apple’s.

Although these numbers sound quite far-fetched and history is no indicator of future price performances, this doesn’t necessarily mean that DOGE has peaked during this cycle. Dogecoin is still far away from its all-time high registered in 2021, and many other assets have managed to break their peaks, so DOGE might still have a lot of room for growth.

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