TLDR
Some analysts predict a potential Bitcoin price breakout, with targets ranging from $90,000+ to $1 million within the next year.
Technical indicators like RSI and Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart suggest a possible bullish continuation for Bitcoin.
Bitcoin miners have been selling large amounts of BTC (over 30,000 BTC worth $2 billion in June) to cover expenses and lock in profits.
There’s a surge in call options buying for Bitcoin from September onwards, potentially signaling optimism about price increases later in 2024.
As Bitcoin continues to navigate through a period of consolidation, analysts and industry figures are offering a wide range of predictions for its future price trajectory.
Technical analysis from trader Roman suggests that Bitcoin may be preparing for a significant price movement. Using the relative strength index (RSI) and Bollinger Bands on the weekly chart, Roman identifies what he believes to be bullish continuation indicators.
$BTC 1W
We are now forming a 3rd bullish divergence between P rice and RSI while many are capitulating & calling for lower.
Bollinger Bands are also squeezing tighter – creating that volatility to send without returning.#bitcoin #cryptocurrency #cryptonews pic.twitter.com/Vv5w1hZYkd
— Roman (@Roman_Trading) June 20, 2024
He notes, “We are now forming a 3rd bullish divergence between Price and RSI while many are capitulating & calling for lower.” This analysis leads him to predict a potential surge to “$90k+” in the near future.
Even more bullish is Samson Mow, CEO of Jan3, who continues to advocate for a $1 million Bitcoin price. Mow bases his prediction on the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January and the fourth Bitcoin halving that occurred in April.
He argues that these events will create a “demand shock” and a “supply shock” respectively, potentially propelling Bitcoin to unprecedented heights.
You may doubt #Bitcoin will reach $1.0M within the next year, but you’ll see. pic.twitter.com/PcmOl2zUsg
— Samson Mow (@Excellion) June 23, 2024
These optimistic outlooks are tempered by current market realities. Bitcoin miners have been selling significant amounts of BTC to cover operational costs and lock in profits.
In June alone, miners sold over 30,000 BTC, worth approximately $2 billion. This selling pressure, combined with potential ETF outflows, has capped Bitcoin’s price in the short term.
QCP Capital’s report suggests that Bitcoin’s price may remain range-bound for the next two months due to large selling of soon-to-expire call options.
However, the report also notes aggressive buying of call options for later in 2024, particularly from September onwards. This could signal growing optimism about price increases in the latter part of the year, potentially coinciding with the U.S. elections.
The mixed signals in the market have led some analysts to warn of a potential bull trap. This scenario could see a temporary price increase followed by a reversal, catching optimistic investors off guard. The forward-looking nature of the cryptocurrency market means that many positive developments, such as regulatory approvals and market events, might already be priced in.
Despite these challenges, institutional interest in Bitcoin continues to grow. MicroStrategy recently purchased nearly 12,000 BTC, valued at $800 million, demonstrating ongoing confidence from major players.
BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes has proposed a positive macroeconomic scenario for a Bitcoin bull run, citing potential impacts from the Japanese banking crisis.
The broader economic context also plays a crucial role in Bitcoin’s future. As Daan Crypto Trades points out, “US equities [are] hitting record highs and bond yields dropping,” which has historically been a favorable environment for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency in general. However, he notes that it can take time for crypto to catch up to these broader economic trends.
I’ve always said I believed in a breakout towards the upside of this #Bitcoin range and I still stand by that.
I’m not sure when it will happen exactly, but I doubt it will take all summer either. I’m referring to the $59K-74K range here.
I think it will kick off the second…
— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) June 23, 2024
Looking ahead, key events and indicators to watch include:
The weekly close of Bitcoin’s price, which could provide important signals about short-term trends.
The behavior of Bitcoin miners and their selling patterns.
Institutional flows into and out of Bitcoin ETFs.
Macroeconomic factors, particularly in relation to traditional financial markets.
The approach of the U.S. elections and their potential impact on market sentiment.
While the range of predictions for Bitcoin’s future price is wide, from $90,000 to $1 million, most analysts agree that the cryptocurrency remains poised for big gains later this year.
The post Bitcoin Price Predictions: Analyzing Expert Forecasts from $90K to $1M appeared first on Blockonomi.