Few points I feel are important to stress regarding #BTC :

1. This is very bad entry point now, whether you believe that it will crash or soar.

Further growth is doubtful as price could not surpass 70+K levels for already quite a long time. Buying next to ATH is too optimistic.

There is no any strong selling signal as well at this moment.

Sale is below 62000, while for the strong buy it is above 73000.

2. Same is true for alts - they follow $BTC and thus to predict direction now is very challenging

3. Interest rates won’t affect BTC at all. If there is a cut from 15% to 10% - yes, it will affect the investor’s choice. 0.2% won’t. I also assume that people who buy BTC chasing high returns given all the risks, will ignore bank savings as an alternative option. So no capital redistribution here.

4. Halving consequences are unpredictable as well. Two forces here: one- decrease in supply and overall optimism. Second - possibility of massive selling (according to JP Morgan, I doubt it) from miners.

5. Most likely post-halving growth, if all the historical conditions repeat themselves, will be only 150-170% from the pre-halving price.

Hopefully you find it useful