Today I share my strategy, risk management and all about it.
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Becoming a profitable trader in futures trading requires a combination of strategies, discipline, risk management, and ongoing learning. Below is a comprehensive guide:
1️⃣. Develop a Trading Strategy
Your strategy should be clear, rule-based, and tested in both live and simulated environments. Here's how you can develop one:
Steps to Create a Strategy:
1. Choose Your Market and Timeframe:
Focus on a few pairs (e.g., BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT).
Decide on a timeframe (e.g., 1-hour, 15-min charts for short-term trades).
2. Identify Market Structure:
Use support and resistance levels.
Analyze trends (uptrend, downtrend, sideways).
3. Use Technical Indicators:
Moving Averages (e.g., 20 EMA for trends).
RSI (overbought/oversold conditions).
Fibonacci retracements (to find entry and exit points).
4. Create Entry and Exit Rules:
Example: Enter a long trade when RSI < 30 and price hits key support with a bullish candlestick.
5. Backtest:
Test your strategy on historical data to measure its accuracy.
2️⃣. Risk Management
Proper risk management ensures you stay in the game long enough to profit over time.
Golden Rules of Risk Management:
1. Risk Only 1-2% Per Trade:
If your account is $10,000, risk $100-$200 per trade.
2. Set Stop Loss:
Always define your maximum loss per trade.
Example: Place SL below support for a long trade.
3. Risk-Reward Ratio:
Aim for at least a 1:2 ratio (risk $1 to make $2).
Example: If SL is $20 away, your target profit (TP) should be $40 away.
4. Avoid Overleveraging:
Leverage can amplify profits and losses. Start with low leverage (e.g., 5x).
3️⃣. Execute Trades with Discipline
Discipline is critical in sticking to your strategy and avoiding emotional trading.
Rules for Execution:
Follow Your Plan: Do not change your strategy mid-trade.
Avoid Revenge Trading: Accept losses as part of trading.
Set Alerts: Use trading platforms to get notified about setups.
4️⃣. Maintain a Trading Journal
Keeping track of your trades helps identify strengths and weaknesses.
What to Log:
Entry and exit prices.
Stop loss and take profit levels.
Reason for the trade.
Outcome (profit/loss).
5️⃣. Continuously Learn
The market evolves, and so should you.
Resources to Improve:
Books: "Trading in the Zone" by Mark Douglas.
Courses: Take reputable futures trading courses.
Communities: Join trading groups to share insights.
📈Example Trade Setup
Let’s walk through a simple trade:
Scenario:
Asset: ETHUSDT
Chart: 1-Hour timeframe
Strategy: RSI Divergence + Fibonacci Retracement
1️⃣. Analysis:
ETH drops to a key support zone (e.g., $1800).
RSI shows bullish divergence (price makes lower lows, RSI makes higher lows).
Price retraces to the 0.618 Fibonacci level after a previous rally.
2️⃣. Execution:
Entry: $1805 (at Fibonacci 0.618 level).
Stop Loss: $1790 (below support).
Take Profit: $1840 (1:2 risk-reward ratio).
3️⃣. Risk Calculation:
Account size: $5000.
Risk: 2% = $100.
Trade Size: If the risk per trade (difference between entry and SL) is $15, position size = $100 ÷ $15 = 6.67 ETH contracts.
4️⃣. Outcome:
If price hits TP, profit = $35 × 6.67 = $233.
If SL is hit, loss = $15 × 6.67 = $100.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
1. Overtrading: Only trade high-probability setups.
2. Ignoring Risk Management: One bad trade can wipe out multiple profitable ones.
3. Emotional Decisions: Fear and greed can derail your plan.
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By following these principles, continuously refining your strategy, and managing your emotions, you can build a path to consistent profitability in futures trading.