Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in a precarious position, trading between $68K and $69K. Both technical and fundamental indicators suggest a significant downturn may be imminent.
📉 Technical Indicators:
• Rising Wedge: This bearish pattern signals weakening momentum. If Bitcoin falls below $63K, a larger drop could follow.
• Bearish RSI Divergence: Momentum is slowing, which often precedes a reversal.
• Death Cross: The 50-day moving average is nearing a crossover below the 200-day, a strong bearish signal.
• Weak Support: A dip below $61K could lead to a sharp fall, with the next major support at $56K.
📊 Fundamental Factors:
• Rising Interest Rates: Higher rates are reducing liquidity, making Bitcoin less attractive to institutional investors.
• Regulatory Pressure: Increased regulations could undermine investor confidence.
• Fearful Market: Sentiment indicates heightened fear, increasing the potential for sell-offs.
⚠️ Potential Scenarios:
• A fall below $57K could lead to a drop to $52K or lower, affecting altcoins as well.
• Reduced liquidity may amplify losses.
• Institutional investors may exit, intensifying downward pressure.
Conclusion: Bitcoin is at a critical turning point. A break below $42K could trigger a major market crash. Stay alert and manage risk carefully.
