According to Cointelegraph: Bitcoin is gaining momentum as it approaches a critical $65,000 resistance level. This week’s rally has restored optimism among market participants, setting the stage for a potential breakout. Here are five things to know as Bitcoin heads toward $65K.

1. $65K: A Crucial Resistance Level to Flip

Bitcoin’s price climbed to $64,800 during the Oct. 14 Asia trading session, marking a new high for the month. Traders see $65K as the key resistance zone to break to unlock further upside. This level serves as a battleground within Bitcoin’s ongoing consolidation period, and overcoming it would confirm buyer strength.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

  • Crypto Ed, an analyst on X, noted that the recent dip to $59K has been invalidated by Bitcoin’s rebound, predicting a retest of $65K soon.

  • Rekt Capital highlighted that resistance around $64,300—first encountered in August—has weakened over time, potentially opening the path toward $66,000.

2. ETF and Retail Activity Remain Mixed

Despite Bitcoin’s rally, ETF flows remain inconsistent, with more cautious investors contributing to mixed results. Over the past week, three out of five trading days saw net outflows from U.S. Bitcoin ETFs, with one of the largest outflows totalling $80 million on Oct. 10. However, this was followed by $250 million in inflows the next day.

  • Retail interest remains subdued compared to previous bull cycles. Data from CryptoQuant shows limited participation from small BTC investors, with "plankton" wallets accumulating smaller amounts but selling quickly during price rallies.

3. Whale Activity Strengthens Support Levels

Onchain data reveals whale buy walls across exchanges, which could help Bitcoin maintain momentum by neutralizing sell pressure. According to Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, these buy walls could provide enough liquidity to prevent significant drawdowns, supporting a potential breakout above $65K.

4. Macroeconomic Factors in Play

Markets remain volatile amid shifting expectations around Federal Reserve policy and the looming U.S. election. The Fed is balancing rising inflation with higher unemployment, complicating the outlook for rate cuts.
 

Fed target rate probabilities. Source: CME Group

  • Earnings season kicks off this week, with 10% of S&P 500 companies scheduled to report, adding more volatility to the market.

  • Gold is trading near record highs, reflecting heightened uncertainty in traditional markets, which could spill over into the crypto space.

5. Long-Term Bitcoin Outlook Remains Positive

Despite current uncertainties, analysts believe Bitcoin is on track to set new highs by Q1 2024. The 21-week EMA continues to act as support, and liquidation events—such as the $180 million in shorts liquidated recently—are working in favor of the bulls.

  • Rekt Capital emphasized that Bitcoin is steadily working through resistance zones, increasing the chance of breaking into a new upward trend.

  • Crypto Tony on X stated that even if Bitcoin faces short-term corrections, new highs remain likely by year-end or early 2024.

  •  

Eyes on $65K Resistance Zone

With $65,000 in sight, Bitcoin is on the cusp of a significant breakout. However, ETF flows, retail participation, and macroeconomic developments will play critical roles in determining whether the market can sustain this rally. A successful flip of the $65K resistance could open the door for further gains, with analysts eyeing the $66,000-$74,000 range as the next target.

#BTC #ETF