SynFutures has launched a perpetual contract for the US election victory rate. The current probability of Trump being elected president is 47%.
On September 19, according to the official announcement of SynFutures, users can use up to 10 times leverage to trade on the Polymarket prediction market for the victory rate of Trump or Harris being elected president. Currently, the probability of Trump being elected president on Polymarket is 47%, and the probability of Harris being elected president is 52%. The above contract market will be settled around November 4.
SynFutures is currently one of the largest on-chain derivative trading markets. According to the defillama derivatives data dashboard, its trading volume in the past 24 hours ranks among the top 3 in the market; at the same time, since the launch of its mainnet in March, its cumulative trading volume has exceeded $170 billion, with over 9.5 million on-chain transactions; in the second quarter, its derivative market share on Blast exceeded 65%, and its trading volume ranked first within two weeks of launching on Base. SynFutures previously announced that it had raised $38 million from top-tier industry institutions such as Pantera, Polychain, Dragonfly, and Standard Crypto, and the protocol has passed the Quantstamp audit.
