MVRV
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A confluence of the #SOPR Ratio Z-Score and #MVRV Ratio Z-Score trading below their means, combined with the Realized Loss Z-Score trading +2 standard deviations above the mean, suggests both long-term holders and shorter-term traders are experiencing substantial losses. This increases the likelihood of capitulation #selling from multiple #investors cohorts, potentially exacerbating downward price pressures in the Bitcoin market.
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📈 MVRV Hits 2-Year High: A Potential Turning Point?
The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) has surged to a 2-year high, historically signaling a potential local top before the initiation of a robust bull market that propels BTC prices to new All-Time Highs.
This development could be indicative of a pivotal moment in the market, and investors and traders will be closely monitoring the MVRV for further insights into Bitcoin's potential trajectory. Stay tuned for updates as the situation unfolds. 📊🚀
Image Source : Crypto Quants
$BTC
#BitcoinAnalysis #MarketIndicators #CryptoInsights #BTC #MVRV
The MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) has surged to a 2-year high, historically signaling a potential local top before the initiation of a robust bull market that propels BTC prices to new All-Time Highs.
This development could be indicative of a pivotal moment in the market, and investors and traders will be closely monitoring the MVRV for further insights into Bitcoin's potential trajectory. Stay tuned for updates as the situation unfolds. 📊🚀
Image Source : Crypto Quants
$BTC
#BitcoinAnalysis #MarketIndicators #CryptoInsights #BTC #MVRV
Could Bitcoin Experience a Rapid 50% Surge in 2024? 🚀
#Bitcoin , currently at $42,246, shows signs of a potential surge, with a historical pattern in the market value to realized value (MVRV) metric resembling past bull markets.
The #MVRV deviation from the mean suggests a possible rebound, echoing previous patterns observed in 2016 and 2020, leading to all-time highs. A recent bounce from the mean MVRV at $40,500 indicates the potential for Bitcoin to reach $60,000.
Additionally, a decrease in #stablecoin supply ratio (SSR) by 80% from its all-time high three months ago raises expectations for a BTC price uptick.
Despite challenges, Ichimoku Cloud analysis sustains an overall bullish narrative, with resistance observed after a retreat from the $49,000 high in January. Some caution is advised, as trader CryptoCon emphasizes the need for clear evidence of market shift despite optimism surrounding ETF releases.
#Binance
#crypto2024
#Bitcoin , currently at $42,246, shows signs of a potential surge, with a historical pattern in the market value to realized value (MVRV) metric resembling past bull markets.
The #MVRV deviation from the mean suggests a possible rebound, echoing previous patterns observed in 2016 and 2020, leading to all-time highs. A recent bounce from the mean MVRV at $40,500 indicates the potential for Bitcoin to reach $60,000.
Additionally, a decrease in #stablecoin supply ratio (SSR) by 80% from its all-time high three months ago raises expectations for a BTC price uptick.
Despite challenges, Ichimoku Cloud analysis sustains an overall bullish narrative, with resistance observed after a retreat from the $49,000 high in January. Some caution is advised, as trader CryptoCon emphasizes the need for clear evidence of market shift despite optimism surrounding ETF releases.
#Binance
#crypto2024
📈 $LINK #Santiment : Each time Chainlink #MVRV 30-Day Ratio has dropped below -12.24% since August 2022, it's signaled a prime buying opportunity, averaging 50% returns.
Currently, LINK MVRV 30-Day Ratio stands at -17.54%. This could be another chance to buy the LINK dip!
Currently, LINK MVRV 30-Day Ratio stands at -17.54%. This could be another chance to buy the LINK dip!
📈 Precio de BTC apunta a USD 60,000 según indicador
La comunidad criptográfica está en alerta ante las señales optimistas que indican un posible aumento del precio de #Bitcoin hacia los USD 60,000, según el indicador MVRV. La investigación, compartida por el respetado comentarista Ali, destaca similitudes en el comportamiento del mercado que precedieron a las históricas corridas alcistas de 2016 y 2020.
El análisis se centra en la métrica Valor de Mercado a Valor Realizado (MVRV), conocida por su capacidad para identificar "desviaciones extremas" en el valor justo de Bitcoin. Actualmente, el MVRV BTC/USD muestra movimientos similares a los observados antes de los mercados alcistas anteriores, sugiriendo un potencial repunte hacia los USD 60,000.
"Durante los últimos mercados alcistas, Bitcoin se recuperó fuertemente después de tocar la banda de precios MVRV medio", señala Ali. "Estamos presenciando un patrón similar ahora. ¡Con el reciente rebote desde el #MVRV medio en USD 40,500, hay potencial para que #BTC se dispare hasta la línea de desviación estándar 1.0 en USD 60,000!"
El análisis también destaca la caída en la proporción de suministro de monedas estables (SSR), que podría contribuir al impulso alcista de Bitcoin. Además, el análisis de la Nube de Ichimoku sugiere un escenario alcista a pesar de algunas resistencias.
Es crucial mantener una perspectiva equilibrada, como señala CryptoCon, advirtiendo que las correcciones no están descartadas y que la situación actual no difiere significativamente de eventos pasados hasta que el precio demuestre lo contrario.
Este análisis resalta la importancia de seguir de cerca los indicadores clave y mantenerse informado sobre los posibles escenarios que podrían influir en el precio de Bitcoin en el corto y medio plazo. 🌐💹
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$BTC
La comunidad criptográfica está en alerta ante las señales optimistas que indican un posible aumento del precio de #Bitcoin hacia los USD 60,000, según el indicador MVRV. La investigación, compartida por el respetado comentarista Ali, destaca similitudes en el comportamiento del mercado que precedieron a las históricas corridas alcistas de 2016 y 2020.
El análisis se centra en la métrica Valor de Mercado a Valor Realizado (MVRV), conocida por su capacidad para identificar "desviaciones extremas" en el valor justo de Bitcoin. Actualmente, el MVRV BTC/USD muestra movimientos similares a los observados antes de los mercados alcistas anteriores, sugiriendo un potencial repunte hacia los USD 60,000.
"Durante los últimos mercados alcistas, Bitcoin se recuperó fuertemente después de tocar la banda de precios MVRV medio", señala Ali. "Estamos presenciando un patrón similar ahora. ¡Con el reciente rebote desde el #MVRV medio en USD 40,500, hay potencial para que #BTC se dispare hasta la línea de desviación estándar 1.0 en USD 60,000!"
El análisis también destaca la caída en la proporción de suministro de monedas estables (SSR), que podría contribuir al impulso alcista de Bitcoin. Además, el análisis de la Nube de Ichimoku sugiere un escenario alcista a pesar de algunas resistencias.
Es crucial mantener una perspectiva equilibrada, como señala CryptoCon, advirtiendo que las correcciones no están descartadas y que la situación actual no difiere significativamente de eventos pasados hasta que el precio demuestre lo contrario.
Este análisis resalta la importancia de seguir de cerca los indicadores clave y mantenerse informado sobre los posibles escenarios que podrían influir en el precio de Bitcoin en el corto y medio plazo. 🌐💹
DYOR and like for more! 👍
#Write2Earn #TrendingTopic
$BTC
🤔 #IntoTheBlock : #MVRV , or Market Value to Realized Value, compares an asset's purchase value to its total market capitalization.
The MVRV indicator for Pendle, a protocol facilitating the tokenization and trading of future yields, has spiked to 4.26.
Additionally, the coin has experienced a 53% increase in the last 30 days.
Historically, an MVRV above 3 suggests a selling point. Whether this trend holds true for $PENDLE remains to be seen, only time will tell.
The MVRV indicator for Pendle, a protocol facilitating the tokenization and trading of future yields, has spiked to 4.26.
Additionally, the coin has experienced a 53% increase in the last 30 days.
Historically, an MVRV above 3 suggests a selling point. Whether this trend holds true for $PENDLE remains to be seen, only time will tell.
On-Chain Data Insights: Bitcoin's Recovery Phase and Bull Market Confirmation
Introduction:
In the world of cryptocurrency, skepticism and fear of uncertainties are common. However, ignoring fundamental on-chain data would be a mistake. Let's examine two crucial on-chain datasets, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) and Average Realized Price, to gain insights into Bitcoin's current market phase.
Short-Term Supply Groups (1 day to 6 months):
a. Historical Bear Market Behavior:
During bear markets, #Bitcoin market price consistently remains below the 1D-6M Average Realized Price, acting as absolute resistance. Conversely, during recovery phases transitioning to a bull market, this level becomes a solid support, aiding in price recovery.
b. Short-Term MVRV (1D-6M) Indicator:
The Short-Term #MVRV (1D-6M) acts as the boundary between bullish and bearish sentiment. Whenever Bitcoin's price approaches this indicator, positive responses are observed, reinforcing its significance in price movements.
Medium-Term Supply Groups (6 months to 2 years):
a. Confirming Bull Market Phases:
Similar to short-term analysis, the Medium-Term Average Realized Price plays a crucial role in confirming bull markets. For Bitcoin to enter a #BullMarket officially, it requires a sufficient accumulation period to gather momentum and break through this mid-term resistance.
b. Medium-Term MVRV (6M-2Y) Indicator:
As with its short-term counterpart, the Medium-Term MVRV (6M-2Y) indicator serves as the boundary separating bearish and bullish conditions.
Current Market Analysis:
At present, we observe similarities between the current market phase and the recovery phase around late 2015 and early 2016. For Bitcoin to solidify its return to a bull market, it needs a prolonged accumulation period to overcome the medium-term average realized price resistance.
On-Chain Data:
Short-Term Supply Group Data:
STH Avg Realized Price: $28,000
STH MVRV: 1.04
Medium-Term Supply Group Data:
Medium-term Avg Realized Price: $30,300
Medium-term MVRV: 0.96
Conclusion:
Considering the historical behavior of Bitcoin's market phases based on the MVRV and Average Realized Price, the current data indicates a potential recovery phase and an impending return to the bull market. However, a sustained accumulation period is necessary to gain enough momentum to overcome the medium-term resistance. Monitoring short-term data for positive responses can provide additional insight into Bitcoin's price movements during this crucial juncture. As always, on-chain data should not be ignored as it provides valuable insights into the cryptocurrency market's underlying fundamentals.
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Source:- CryptoQuant
#googleai #Binance
$BTC $ETH $SOL
In the world of cryptocurrency, skepticism and fear of uncertainties are common. However, ignoring fundamental on-chain data would be a mistake. Let's examine two crucial on-chain datasets, the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) and Average Realized Price, to gain insights into Bitcoin's current market phase.
Short-Term Supply Groups (1 day to 6 months):
a. Historical Bear Market Behavior:
During bear markets, #Bitcoin market price consistently remains below the 1D-6M Average Realized Price, acting as absolute resistance. Conversely, during recovery phases transitioning to a bull market, this level becomes a solid support, aiding in price recovery.
b. Short-Term MVRV (1D-6M) Indicator:
The Short-Term #MVRV (1D-6M) acts as the boundary between bullish and bearish sentiment. Whenever Bitcoin's price approaches this indicator, positive responses are observed, reinforcing its significance in price movements.
Medium-Term Supply Groups (6 months to 2 years):
a. Confirming Bull Market Phases:
Similar to short-term analysis, the Medium-Term Average Realized Price plays a crucial role in confirming bull markets. For Bitcoin to enter a #BullMarket officially, it requires a sufficient accumulation period to gather momentum and break through this mid-term resistance.
b. Medium-Term MVRV (6M-2Y) Indicator:
As with its short-term counterpart, the Medium-Term MVRV (6M-2Y) indicator serves as the boundary separating bearish and bullish conditions.
Current Market Analysis:
At present, we observe similarities between the current market phase and the recovery phase around late 2015 and early 2016. For Bitcoin to solidify its return to a bull market, it needs a prolonged accumulation period to overcome the medium-term average realized price resistance.
On-Chain Data:
Short-Term Supply Group Data:
STH Avg Realized Price: $28,000
STH MVRV: 1.04
Medium-Term Supply Group Data:
Medium-term Avg Realized Price: $30,300
Medium-term MVRV: 0.96
Conclusion:
Considering the historical behavior of Bitcoin's market phases based on the MVRV and Average Realized Price, the current data indicates a potential recovery phase and an impending return to the bull market. However, a sustained accumulation period is necessary to gain enough momentum to overcome the medium-term resistance. Monitoring short-term data for positive responses can provide additional insight into Bitcoin's price movements during this crucial juncture. As always, on-chain data should not be ignored as it provides valuable insights into the cryptocurrency market's underlying fundamentals.
Follow us for More Quality Analysis.
Thank you.
Source:- CryptoQuant
#googleai #Binance
$BTC $ETH $SOL
📈 On-Chain Data Insights: BTC Recovery & Bull Market Confirmation:
1️⃣ Short-Term (1d-6m):
Historical bear market: Price below 1D-6M Avg. Realized Price (resistance).Short-Term MVRV: Bull-Bear boundary, positive near it.
2️⃣ Medium-Term (6m-2y):
Confirming bull market: $BTC needs accumulation to break Medium-Term Avg. Realized Price (resistance).Medium-Term MVRV: Bearish-Bullish indicator.
📊 Current Data:
STH Avg Price: $28K
#MVRV : 1.04 Med-term Avg Price: $30.3K
MVRV: 0.96
🔍 Market Analysis: Similar to 2015-2016 recovery. #BTC needs accumulation for bull market confirmation, watch short-term data.
#bullmarket #Altcoins #Ethereum
$ETH $LTC
1️⃣ Short-Term (1d-6m):
Historical bear market: Price below 1D-6M Avg. Realized Price (resistance).Short-Term MVRV: Bull-Bear boundary, positive near it.
2️⃣ Medium-Term (6m-2y):
Confirming bull market: $BTC needs accumulation to break Medium-Term Avg. Realized Price (resistance).Medium-Term MVRV: Bearish-Bullish indicator.
📊 Current Data:
STH Avg Price: $28K
#MVRV : 1.04 Med-term Avg Price: $30.3K
MVRV: 0.96
🔍 Market Analysis: Similar to 2015-2016 recovery. #BTC needs accumulation for bull market confirmation, watch short-term data.
#bullmarket #Altcoins #Ethereum
$ETH $LTC
#BiyondDaily ⤵️
1️⃣Bitcoin is in recovery mode ahead of key U.S. NFP jobs and ISM manufacturing reports, along with an options expiration event.
2️⃣Spot ETFs on Wall Street saw outflows, but the Hong Kong Bitcoin ETF experienced significant net inflows.
3️⃣Bill Gross predicts a return to five percent in the 10-year bond market, potentially impacting crypto in the short term.
4️⃣Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin's bottom is in, anticipating a slow grind higher, emphasizing the importance of the $59,000 to $58,000 price zone.
5️⃣The Long Vs Short ratio has dropped to 2:1, indicating traders are still overly long, possibly leading to liquidations on recovery.
6️⃣The 90-day MVRV ratio is about -8 percent, historically hitting -20 to -25 percent during significant pullbacks.
7️⃣Signal entries may be raised if $58,000 holds, with a potential target of $120,000.
#Bitcoin❗️ #ETFs✅ #ArthurHayes #MVRV
1️⃣Bitcoin is in recovery mode ahead of key U.S. NFP jobs and ISM manufacturing reports, along with an options expiration event.
2️⃣Spot ETFs on Wall Street saw outflows, but the Hong Kong Bitcoin ETF experienced significant net inflows.
3️⃣Bill Gross predicts a return to five percent in the 10-year bond market, potentially impacting crypto in the short term.
4️⃣Arthur Hayes believes Bitcoin's bottom is in, anticipating a slow grind higher, emphasizing the importance of the $59,000 to $58,000 price zone.
5️⃣The Long Vs Short ratio has dropped to 2:1, indicating traders are still overly long, possibly leading to liquidations on recovery.
6️⃣The 90-day MVRV ratio is about -8 percent, historically hitting -20 to -25 percent during significant pullbacks.
7️⃣Signal entries may be raised if $58,000 holds, with a potential target of $120,000.
#Bitcoin❗️ #ETFs✅ #ArthurHayes #MVRV
😱 #Santiment warn about possible $BTC correction!
#MVRV indicator = 19.57% - since February 2021, every time it crossed the 18% threshold, BTC declined by 24-55%.
#MVRV indicator = 19.57% - since February 2021, every time it crossed the 18% threshold, BTC declined by 24-55%.
#Bulls are accumulating this digital currency.
_#LONDON-Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has seen a decline of more than 3% over the past week and more than 1% in the past 24 hours, with its price hovering around $2,170.21. Despite this downturn, which pushed the market cap to over $260 billion, major investors, often referred to as “whales,” demonstrated their long-term confidence in Ethereum by adding over $230 million worth of ETH to their holdings. The digital currency's recent performance has been marred by several negative market indicators. There has been a noticeable decline in weighted sentiment – a measure of investor sentiment towards a particular asset – which often precedes price movements. Additionally, a bearish crossover was observed in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence #MACD , which is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of an asset's price.
The Market Value to Realized Value #MVRV ratio, which compares a cryptocurrency's market value to its realized value, is also declining, indicating that the value being traded is lower than what the market currently values. Despite these bearish signs and seemingly low buying interest from investors in the US and South Korea, historical patterns suggest there may be room for optimism. Similar trends have occurred since 2017 where Ethereum price saw a rise after hitting key support levels. This historical resilience may indicate that the current price decline may be temporary and followed by a recovery.
$ETH
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_#LONDON-Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, has seen a decline of more than 3% over the past week and more than 1% in the past 24 hours, with its price hovering around $2,170.21. Despite this downturn, which pushed the market cap to over $260 billion, major investors, often referred to as “whales,” demonstrated their long-term confidence in Ethereum by adding over $230 million worth of ETH to their holdings. The digital currency's recent performance has been marred by several negative market indicators. There has been a noticeable decline in weighted sentiment – a measure of investor sentiment towards a particular asset – which often precedes price movements. Additionally, a bearish crossover was observed in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence #MACD , which is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of an asset's price.
The Market Value to Realized Value #MVRV ratio, which compares a cryptocurrency's market value to its realized value, is also declining, indicating that the value being traded is lower than what the market currently values. Despite these bearish signs and seemingly low buying interest from investors in the US and South Korea, historical patterns suggest there may be room for optimism. Similar trends have occurred since 2017 where Ethereum price saw a rise after hitting key support levels. This historical resilience may indicate that the current price decline may be temporary and followed by a recovery.
$ETH
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🎢 $MATIC Ali Martinez: The 30-day, 365-day, and #MVRV Z-Score Ratios for Polygon are all in the negative, indicating that now might be the perfect time to buy into the MATIC dip.
An expert has pointed out the potential for #Bitcoin to rise significantly after #consolidating above $27,900. This price level aligns with the #MVRV indicator concerning short-term market participants, as analyzed by CryptoQuant's analyst Maartunn. The specialist has highlighted the historical correlation between these two parameters. After surpassing the resistance level represented by MVRV_STH, significant waves of growth have been observed. Bitfinex analysts have noted the continued decrease in the number of coins held by speculators to levels not seen in almost eight years. In contrast, hodlers have increased the number of coins in their wallets to a new record.
"The gap has widened over the past couple of weeks. Many short-term holders have either made minimal profits or minimized losses as the Bitcoin price returned to $28,500 [comparable to the average 'cost' level]," they explained.
Experts have examined various market cycle indicators and concluded that digital gold has overcome its bottom. One of these indicators is the dominance of stablecoins (their total market value compared to the overall market capitalization). The reduction in the supply of stablecoins suggests their conversion into digital assets, according to analysts. Currently, the metric has dropped into the range of 11-11.4%, which has historically signaled subsequent Bitcoin recoveries. This signal reinforces the forecast of increased volatility, according to specialists. An expected approval of a Bitcoin spot #ETF by the #SEC could serve as a potential rally driver. Matrixport estimates that investors could channel $20-30 billion into the new product.
Analysts have emphasized that, at present, the market capitalization of digital gold is equivalent to 10.8% of its physical counterpart. Market participants have invested approximately $200 billion in the latter's exchange-traded funds.
Experts have also justified their forecast by highlighting Bitcoin's lack of confiscation risk compared to precious metals.$BTC
"The gap has widened over the past couple of weeks. Many short-term holders have either made minimal profits or minimized losses as the Bitcoin price returned to $28,500 [comparable to the average 'cost' level]," they explained.
Experts have examined various market cycle indicators and concluded that digital gold has overcome its bottom. One of these indicators is the dominance of stablecoins (their total market value compared to the overall market capitalization). The reduction in the supply of stablecoins suggests their conversion into digital assets, according to analysts. Currently, the metric has dropped into the range of 11-11.4%, which has historically signaled subsequent Bitcoin recoveries. This signal reinforces the forecast of increased volatility, according to specialists. An expected approval of a Bitcoin spot #ETF by the #SEC could serve as a potential rally driver. Matrixport estimates that investors could channel $20-30 billion into the new product.
Analysts have emphasized that, at present, the market capitalization of digital gold is equivalent to 10.8% of its physical counterpart. Market participants have invested approximately $200 billion in the latter's exchange-traded funds.
Experts have also justified their forecast by highlighting Bitcoin's lack of confiscation risk compared to precious metals.$BTC
