El banco central sorprendió con unas previsiones mucho menos optimistas de lo previsto

La corrección en el mercado de las criptomonedas es total. El bitcoin (BTC) se ha dejado más de 10.000 dólares de valor desde los máximos que marcó el pasado día 17 el pasado martes. A su vez, el mercado ha perdido un 7% de su capitalización bursátil en las últimas 24 horas. ¿Hay motivos para la preocupación?

$BTC

$ETH

$XRP
Lo cierto es que el mercado no lo tiene claro. Algunos estrategas señalan que la reacción del bitcoin y las criptomonedas a la última decisión de política monetaria de la Reserva Federal (Fed) subraya la vulnerabilidad de bitcoin a factores externos. Cabe recordar que el banco central estadounidense viene de bajar los tipos de interés, pero ha anunciado que los bajará menos veces de las esperadas en 2025 y que sus proyecciones para el próximo año son menos optimistas: la inflación subirá debido al mayor crecimiento económico y al menor desempleo.

Según numerosos expertos, esta postura 'hawkish' (dura) del banco central se produce en anticipación a los efectos que pueden tener las políticas del presidente electo Donald Trump en Estados Unidos –que hoy, por cierto, ha prometido subir los aranceles a Europa.

Otros, en cambio, destacan que las últimas caídas presentan una interesante oportunidad de compra, pues esperan que los activos digitales brillen el próximo año. Buena parte de este optimismo se debe, precisamente, a Trump. El presidente electo se ha mostrado muy favorable a las criptomonedas y ha prometido promulgar leyes favorables a estos activos digitales, así como ambiciosas iniciativas como la creación de una reserva estratégica de bitcoins.

Pero los planes de Trump no convencen a todo el mundo. "Si bien el impacto de las políticas de Trump sigue siendo especulativo, la débil demanda de las economías europeas y China probablemente limitará el crecimiento global (y la inflación). Al mismo tiempo, un dólar estadounidense más fuerte podría afectar las ganancias corporativas de las empresas estadounidenses", explican los estrategas de 10x Research.
Y es que buena parte de las últimas subidas del mercado tienen que ver con Trump, cuya victoria electoral y sus posteriores declaraciones han espoleado el rally en el mercado de las criptomonedas. La figura del presidente electo de Estados Unidos ha supuesto un "soporte fundamental" para esta clase de activos, y, según XTB, lo seguirá haciendo en el futuro.

Hani Abuagla, analista sénior de mercado de XTB MENA, apunta que, a pesar de la volatilidad de los precios, los flujos que registran los fondos cotizados (ETF, por sus siglas en inglés) de BTC "siguen siendo fuertemente positivos". Si bien el último día se han registrado más de 600 millones en salidas netas, este experto destaca que, en los últimos 20 días, las entradas netas ascienden a casi 7.000 millones de dólares, lo que sugiere un apetito institucional "sostenido" y que el mercado está "madurando" de la mano de los fondos de BlackRock (IBIT) y Fidelity (FBTC).

"Si bien la volatilidad a corto plazo puede persistir mientras los mercados digieren la trayectoria política de la Fed, la demanda estructural proveniente de los ETFs y la posible claridad regulatoria bajo una administración de Trump podrían proporcionar apoyo. La interacción entre la política monetaria, la adopción institucional y los desarrollos políticos sugiere que el bitcoin seguirá siendo sensible tanto a los catalizadores macroeconómicos como específicos del mundo cripto a lo largo de 2025", explica este experto.

En este sentido, los estrategas de Bitwise se muestran mucho más optimistas. De cara a los próximos 12 meses, estos expertos pronostican que el bitcoin alcanzará los 200.000 dólares y que importantes empresas del sector, como Circle o Kraken, darán su salto a la bolsa. Bitwise también pronostica que el mercado de 'stablecoins' podría duplicarse hasta los 400.000 millones de dólares si se aprueba la esperada ley sobre 'stablecoins' en Estados Unidos.
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#BtcNewHolder
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In a bold statement, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has clarified that the Fed has NO intentions of getting involved in creating a Bitcoin strategic reserve or stockpiling Bitcoin. 🛑
Powell emphasized that the Federal Reserve is NOT allowed to own Bitcoin, and there are NO plans to change that stance anytime soon. This comes as a clear message to the crypto world: Don’t expect the Fed to back Bitcoin as part of any reserve strategy.
💥 With Bitcoin’s rise and fall often tied to major financial announcements, this news could have a massive impact on how the market moves. Could this be a sign that traditional financial powers are distancing themselves from Bitcoin, or is it just a temporary stance?
🔮 Stay tuned as the crypto world reacts to Powell's comments! The future of Bitcoin just got even more interesting. 🧐
#BinanceAlphaAlert #FederalReserve #CryptoNews #CryptoMarket

The latest decisions by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) pose serious challenges to the development of the cryptocurrency market in 2025. Despite the third interest rate cut of the year, which lowered rates to 4.25–4.5% annually on December 18, the regulator's overall stance remains stricter than experts had anticipated, largely due to its cautious outlook on inflation. According to an analytical review by Catarina Saraiva, only two rate cuts are expected next year, reflecting the Fed's conservative approach to monetary policy.
Adding to these challenges is the projected growth of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation index and core PCE inflation. The Financial Times notes that the Fed's tightening policy is driven by heightened attention to inflation risks and a commitment to ensuring the stability of the U.S. economy. Stock markets reacted immediately, with the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq indices dropping by 0.38%, 0.56%, and 0.64%, respectively.
The cryptocurrency market also faced significant pressure, with the total capitalization of digital assets declining by 4.62% to $3.48 trillion. According to Reuters, the combination of moderate rate cuts and the Fed's hawkish rhetoric could lead to prolonged market instability. Analysts at BloomingBit are warning investors to brace for heightened volatility and an extended period of uncertainty, underscoring the Fed's monetary policy as a central influence on market trends.

#CryptocurrencyMarket #FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #DigitalAssets #InflationRisks

🏦💬 In a recent statement, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell addressed the central bank’s position on Bitcoin ownership:

“We’re not allowed to own Bitcoin. The Federal Reserve Act says what we can own, and we’re not looking for a law change.”

This clarification comes amid discussions about the potential establishment of a U.S. Bitcoin Strategic Reserve.

Key Points:
• Legal Constraints: The Federal Reserve is legally prohibited from holding Bitcoin under the current Federal Reserve Act.
• No Legislative Pursuit: Chair Powell emphasized that the Fed is not seeking changes to these laws to accommodate Bitcoin holdings.
• Market Impact: Following Powell’s remarks, Bitcoin’s value experienced a notable decline, reflecting the market’s sensitivity to regulatory perspectives.

Discussion:
Chair Powell’s statements underscore the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach toward integrating cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin into its asset portfolio.

Questions for the Community:
• What are your thoughts on the Federal Reserve’s stance regarding Bitcoin?
• How might this position influence the broader adoption of cryptocurrencies in the financial sector?

Stay Informed:
For more updates on cryptocurrency regulations and market movements, follow our page and join the conversation.

Hashtags:
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The S&P 500 suffered its sharpest single-day decline since 2020, wiping out an astonishing $1.8 trillion in market value after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish tone on interest rates. Hopes for a year-end "Santa Claus rally" have been dashed, leaving traditional markets in turmoil.
📉 Key Highlights:
S&P 500 Sell-Off: Investors reacted sharply to Powell's remarks, fearing prolonged economic pressure.
Crypto Resilience: Despite the chaos, cryptocurrencies remain stable, demonstrating surprising strength amidst market-wide sell-offs.
Political Angle: Speculations are rising that figures like Donald Trump may criticize Powell's monetary policies, potentially influencing market sentiment.
With uncertainty gripping global markets, traders should prepare for heightened volatility across stocks, crypto, and bonds. Powell's remarks have intensified concerns over the economic outlook, and all eyes are now on the Federal Reserve's next steps.
🔎 What’s Next?
Will cryptocurrencies continue to decouple from traditional markets?
How will political pressures influence Powell’s decisions?
Are further declines ahead for the stock market?
Stay alert as market sentiment remains fragile and volatility takes center stage.
#StockMarket #CryptoNews #FederalReserve #PowellSpeech #Volatility

In a seismic shift for global markets, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest remarks sent shockwaves through Wall Street, triggering the steepest single-day drop in the S&P 500 since early 2020. A staggering $1.8 trillion in market value evaporated as Powell’s hawkish tone crushed hopes for a year-end recovery, extinguishing dreams of the long-awaited “Santa Claus” rally.
Wall Street in Turmoil
The Fed’s resolute stance on keeping interest rates higher for longer has left investors rattled. As market sentiment hangs by a thread, whispers of economic strain and political maneuvering, including potential interventions by figures like former President Donald Trump, have added to the drama.
Crypto: The Calm in the Storm
Amid the chaos in traditional markets, the cryptocurrency sector has proven to be a surprising beacon of stability. Once dubbed the "wild west" of finance, digital assets have held steady, defying the intense selling pressure that has gripped stocks and bonds.
This divergence underscores crypto’s growing resilience and its evolving role as an alternative in uncertain times. While traditional markets crumble, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major assets have maintained steady trading ranges, reinforcing their appeal as a hedge against macroeconomic volatility.
What’s Next?
With volatility likely to remain high across asset classes, traders are bracing for more turbulence ahead. Upcoming economic updates and political reactions could further shake markets, as Powell’s speech has laid the groundwork for a tense financial landscape.
Takeaways for Binance Users
1. Opportunity Amid Uncertainty: Market volatility often breeds opportunity. Crypto’s relative stability could signal a prime moment for strategic trades.
2. Diversify Smartly: As traditional markets falter, digital assets continue to gain ground as a viable diversification tool.
3. Stay Informed: With economic and political headlines likely to dictate market moves, staying updated on the latest developments is crucial.
Final Thought: Powell’s hawkish tone may have spooked Wall Street, but it’s also a wake-up call for investors to rethink their strategies. Whether crypto becomes the hero of this turbulent financial chapter remains to be seen, but one thing is certain: the digital asset market is not to be underestimated.
#BinanceNews #CryptoResilience #FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #TradeSmarter

Financial markets experienced a major shock following an unexpected statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell regarding the outlook for monetary policy in 2025. Despite the recent third consecutive cut to the key interest rate, his cautious forecast about further easing of monetary policy triggered a massive sell-off in the markets.

Investor reaction was immediate: the S&P 500 index dropped by 3%, while the yield on 10-year Treasury bonds reached its highest level in the past seven months. Such a sharp drop in the stock market on the day of a Fed meeting had not been seen since September 2001, when the index fell by nearly 5%.
The situation is further complicated by the anticipated return of Donald Trump to the White House. His promises to raise tariffs on U.S. trading partners and lower taxes could exacerbate inflationary pressures, significantly increasing uncertainty for market participants.
High-risk assets were the most sensitive to the change in sentiment. Goldman Sachs’ index of the most heavily shorted stocks fell by 4.9%, while the measure of loss-making tech companies declined by 6.4%—the largest drop in two years. Tesla shares lost 8.3% of their value, and Bitcoin, which had recently approached the $108,000 mark, dropped by 5%.

Experts note that the market was unprepared for this turn of events. According to Tom di Galoma of Curvature Securities, the Fed is shifting to a more neutral stance as it awaits further actions from the new administration. Current forecasts suggest fewer than two rate cuts of a quarter percentage point each throughout 2025, a scenario even more conservative than what the Fed’s official projections indicate.

#FederalReserve #MarketVolatility #BitcoinPrice #TeslaStock #TradingStrategy

Powell’s Speech Triggers Market Turmoil, Crypto Defies the Storm
In a dramatic turn of events, the S&P 500 experienced its steepest single-day drop since early 2020, wiping out a staggering $1.8 trillion in market value. This sell-off was triggered by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent comments, which shattered investor hopes for a year-end recovery. With the Fed signaling a firm stance on interest rates, the dream of a “Santa Claus” rally now seems out of reach, leaving market sentiment on edge.
Despite the chaos in traditional markets, the cryptocurrency sector has demonstrated remarkable stability. Digital assets, often considered highly volatile, have maintained steady levels even as global markets face intense selling pressure. This divergence highlights crypto's evolving role in a turbulent financial landscape.
As uncertainty grips the markets, traders and investors are left speculating on the long-term implications of Powell’s tone. The possibility of prolonged economic strain has led to whispers of political figures, including former President Donald Trump, stepping into the spotlight to challenge the Fed's current approach to monetary policy.
With volatility expected to remain high across asset classes, market participants are bracing for further turbulence. All eyes are now on upcoming economic updates and political reactions, as Powell’s speech has set the stage for heightened drama in the financial world.
#FederalReserve #InterestRates #CryptoMarket #EconomicOutlook

Federal Reserve Rate Cut: A Game-Changer for Crypto Markets? 🚀🔥
On December 18, 2024, the U.S. Federal Reserve is anticipated to reduce interest rates by 25 basis points, lowering the federal funds rate to 4.25%–4.50%. This decision is expected to create ripples across the financial landscape, particularly within the cryptocurrency sector, potentially setting the stage for transformative market movements.
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Increased Appetite for High-Risk Assets
Lower interest rates tend to push investors away from traditional, low-yield options such as savings accounts or government bonds. This shift often leads to a search for higher-return opportunities, and cryptocurrencies—known for their explosive growth potential—could become a prime destination for this capital influx. The result? Heightened demand and possible bullish momentum in the crypto space.
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Short-Term Price Volatility
The announcement of a rate cut could trigger immediate turbulence across financial markets. Given their inherently volatile nature, cryptocurrencies are likely to experience dramatic price swings as traders and investors adjust their strategies to align with the new monetary environment.
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Potential Challenges for Stablecoins
While a rate cut could be a tailwind for the broader crypto market, stablecoin issuers may face headwinds. Many stablecoins are backed by U.S. Treasury assets, and reduced yields on these reserves could squeeze profits. This development might impact the perceived reliability of stablecoins, adding complexity to an already evolving sector.
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As the Federal Reserve's decision approaches, the crypto industry stands at a crossroads. Although the anticipated rate cut could serve as a catalyst for growth, other factors—including regulatory developments, advancements in blockchain technology, and broader economic conditions—will continue to shape the industry's trajectory. December 18, 2024, could mark a significant turning point for the future of digital assets.
#CryptoCatalyst #BTC2024 #FederalReserve