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According to CME "Fed Watch" data, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in August is 93.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 6.7%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged by September is 22.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 72.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.1%.

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Morning News from CrypticNews Hub 1. UniSat: Most of the work on developing L1 Swap is complete, with plans to launch Fractal Swap and introduce an incentive mechanism in September. 2. President of The ETF Store: A spot ETF for #Ethereum is likely to launch the week of July 15. 3. So far this year, the number of new wallets on the Ronin network has exceeded 1 million per month, except for February. 4. Degen will begin Airdrop 2 Season 6 on July 11. 5. Andrew Kang: More than 98% of altcoins have peaked in this cycle, while Bitcoin is moving into the supercycle asset category. 6. AssangeDAO member: 12,161 $ETH has been used for Assange's legal defense and activities, with over 4,431 #ETH remaining unused. 7. PrimeDAO has added 3 incentives for voting on the Balancer Votemarket. 8. Solana client Firedancer plans to launch a $1 million bug bounty program on July 10. 9. President of The ETF Store has increased his holdings of a small amount of BTC and SOL, and has also held onto some ETH. 10. CEO of Tether: Locally executable AI models are the only way to maintain privacy and independence.

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Heat Map of Forecasts for the U.S. Presidential Elections

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Currently, the probability of a rate cut in September is around 70%, with a total reduction of about 50 basis points expected by the end of the year.

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Russell 2000 options are relatively expensive ahead of the CPI report... $IWM

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