💰 TON переживает серьезный кризис после серии спорных решений в начале 2025 года: переход на закрытую модель сети, требование эксклюзивного использования их блокчейна для всех мини-приложений Telegram и запрет сторонних кошельков.
ℹ️ Это привело к массовому оттоку пользователей (падение с 1.81 млн до 200 тыс. ежедневных активных адресов), обвалу цены токена на 54% (с $8.24 до $3.75), при этом 96% держателей находятся в убытке. Крупные проекты, такие как Frens Farm, покидают экосистему, а объемы торгов на DEX значительно снизились, что вместе с недавним переводом 240,000 TON на биржи создает дополнительное давление продаж.
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1. Market Position: Bitcoin is the pioneer cryptocurrency, holding the largest market capitalization in the crypto space. It serves as a store of value and a benchmark for other cryptocurrencies.
2. Adoption and Utility: BTC is widely adopted by institutions, retail investors, and businesses. It's used for transactions, cross-border payments, and as a hedge against inflation in uncertain economic environments.
3. Macroeconomic Factors: The global economy and monetary policies significantly impact Bitcoin. For instance:
Inflation or devaluation of fiat currencies often drives investors toward BTC as a hedge.
Regulatory developments can influence Bitcoin's price volatility.
4. On-Chain Data: Metrics like hash rate, wallet activity, and Bitcoin reserves on exchanges are crucial indicators. A high hash rate suggests strong network security, while declining exchange reserves indicate potential long-term holding sentiment.
5. Recent Market Activity:
The 24-hour high was $97,181.82, while the low was $92,500.90.
The volume (33,277.80 BTC) and price drop (-1.89%) hint at ongoing consolidation or profit-taking after recent gains.
6. Technical Indicators:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 44.97, indicating neutral to slightly bearish momentum.
Moving Averages: The shorter and longer MAs show resistance and support levels, essential for determining the next price trend.
7. Investor Sentiment: With growing institutional interest, such as ETFs and corporate holdings, long-term sentiment remains bullish. However, short-term corrections are natural in volatile markets.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains a dominant player with strong fundamentals, but its price movement is influenced by external factors like regulatory updates, macroeconomic trends, and technical patterns. Traders should consider a balanced approach with risk management, especially during volatile periods.$BTC