Indeed low circulation, and the 2M daily unlock would only add $2-3M in possible sell pressure per day, with a volume of $200-300M. Nice post 👍

Overview: UsualCoin ($USUAL ) made a remarkable debut, rapidly climbing from its all-time low of $0.2055 on November 20, 2024, to an all-time high of $1.6356 by December 20, 2024. However, after such a swift and significant rise, a natural consolidation phase has ensued. In this article, we will examine the current trends in USUAL’s price action and market performance to assess its future potential.
Market Insights:
Current Price: $1.0995
24H Change: +3.14%
Market Capitalization: $532.71M
24-Hour Trading Volume: $253.89M (47.66% of Market Cap)
Circulating Supply: 484.52M USUAL
Max Supply: 4B USUAL
Fully Diluted Market Cap: $4.4B
The current market dynamics show that USUAL has significant room for growth, especially considering its relatively low circulating supply compared to its maximum supply.
Technical Analysis:
1. Moving Averages (MA):
The 7-day moving average ($1.225) is showing a slight downward trend, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
The 25-day moving average ($0.9172) is providing a strong support level and signals a more favorable mid-term outlook.
The crossover of these moving averages suggests a phase of short-term consolidation, but the longer-term trend remains positive, supported by the higher 25-day MA.
2. Volume Trends:
The 24-hour trading volume of $253.89M is notably high, demonstrating sustained market interest even amidst the recent pullback.
With a volume-to-market cap ratio of 47.66%, this suggests robust liquidity and a strong investor presence, which could help stabilize prices and provide support for future upward momentum.
3. Recent Price Action:
After reaching an all-time high of $1.6356, the price underwent a significant correction, finding support near $1.03.
At present, the price is stabilizing around the psychological level of $1.10, indicating that the market is attempting to regain balance after the sharp upward movement.
Factors Behind the Dip: Several factors could explain the recent pullback:
Profit-taking by early investors, following the rapid rise in price.
A natural cooling-off period after a parabolic rally.
Broader market conditions, including general consolidation trends in the altcoin market.
Outlook for UsualCoin:
Resistance Levels: The key resistance level to watch is $1.14. A breakout above this price could signal a potential move toward the $1.20-$1.25 range.
Support Levels: The coin must maintain support above $1.03 to reassure investors and avoid further downside pressure.
In conclusion, while UsualCoin is currently experiencing a cooling-off period following a meteoric rise, the long-term outlook remains promising. The market's interest is still strong, and with strong support at key levels, USUAL has the potential for further growth once the consolidation phase concludes.
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