Or has it already peaked?
Can't tell when altseason will start and where will be its peak?
I've spent ~10 hours researching the past 3 cycles
Here's the current #atlseason period and when it'll peak
1/➫ One more thing, I know that many don't have money to invest so...
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2/➫ I've been here for almost 3 cycles, making over $1M in crypto
❍ My main profit came from trading alts so I decided to do this research cause every cycle, I hear the same thing: "This time is different."
❍ But every time things have been exactly the same
Here is when the altseason will end and why crypto is cyclical
3/➫ Market Peaks
❍ In 2017 and 2021, the bull market peaked exactly 29 months before the halving
❍ If that still seems like a coincidence...
Next, you'll be convinced that crypto is cyclical:
4/➫ BTC ATHs
❍ In the last 2 cycles, Bitcoin broke its ATH 7, and then 8 months after the halving
❍ This cycle, the same thing happened — BTC broke the top 7-8 months after the halving
For the 3rd cycle in a row, everything repeats month for month
And there's more to come
5/➫ Bear Market
❍ Both the 2018 and 2022 bear markets lasted exactly 12 months
❍ Even more interesting is that both showed declines of roughly the same percentage — around 80%
❍ It turns out the bear markets were absolutely identical despite different macro conditions
6/➫ Bull Run
❍ The last 3 bull runs lasted 9, 9, and 11 months, respectively
❍ That means we can expect this one to last around 9-11 months as well
❍ This suggests the next run will peak around September 2025
7/➫ The number of coincidences directly points to the cyclical nature of the market
❍ From this, we can also roughly estimate when altseason will begin and when it will end
Let's dive in
8/➫ Post halving Altseason
❍ Both the 2016 and 2020 post-halving seasons showed excellent altcoin growth in the first 15-20 weeks
❍ This time, we saw that growth after 30 weeks, but the most interesting part is that the main growth continued beyond that
❍ This means that after a slight correction, altcoins are likely to go even higher
9/➫ 2 Bull Run Stages
❍ Overall, I would divide the bull run into two stages:
- Accumulation
- Taking profit
❍ If we know the bull run lasts 9-11 months, I’d say growth happens during the first 8-9 months, and profit-taking occurs in the remaining 2-3 months
10/➫ Taking Profit
❍ If the actions during the accumulation stage are fairly straightforward, taking a profit is a problem for many
❍ 99% end the bull run losing almost all their profits
❍ That’s why I recommend taking profits in portions on the way up
11/➫ Conclusion
❍ Overall, we can expect the end of altseason around September 2025
❍ Right now is the moment when most 100x projects are launching
❍ That’s why it’s crucial to do your research and look for potential 100x bets