The crypto market presents a compelling dichotomy: while the total market cap achieves new all-time highs, Bitcoin($BTC ) is forming lower tops. This divergence, combined with a weakening Bitcoin dominance, suggests a potential rotation towards altcoins. Let's explore this dynamic and what it means for investors.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains range-bound between 100 and 108, currently hovering around a macro 50% level. This range-bound behavior creates uncertainty for crypto. However, the fact that many crypto assets are holding gains despite a relatively strong dollar suggests they could appreciate further if the dollar weakens. A breakout above 108 in the DXY could create headwinds for crypto, while a breakdown below 100 might provide tailwinds.

Bitcoin dominance, a measure of Bitcoin's market share relative to the entire crypto market, is declining. Excluding stable-coins, it has fallen below 63%, a four-month low. This breakdown from key support, coupled with the "true" total market cap (excluding Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stable-coins) surging to new highs, reinforces the narrative of an emerging altcoin season.

Ethereum ($ETH ) stands out with a recent 10% surge, holding those gains and possibly entering a re-accumulation phase. ETH remains above the $3,500 mark, a critical support level. A decisive break above the descending trend line from its all-time high would signal further upside potential, with the next major resistance not until $38,100. However, a drop below $3,500 could trigger a retest of the $3,000 zone.

Altcoin Opportunities and Risks

Solana ($SOL )

While SOL reached new all-time highs this week, it failed to hold those levels. It now faces resistance at $260 and support between $225 and its 50% retracement level ($243). Its price action remains choppy and indecisive.

Cardano (ADA)

ADA demonstrates a solid uptrend with consistent higher lows, suggesting sustained buyer support. Key support rests near $0.90. As long as ADA maintains this pattern, the outlook remains positive. The next resistance level sits at $1.20.

XRP

XRP continues its upward trajectory, with the next major resistance at the psychological $2.00 level, which also coincides with the previous cycle's high. Support lies around the 50% level ($1.57).

Bitcoin Outlook

Despite Bitcoin's recent relative weakness, the weekly chart remains bullish. Key support sits at $90,000, with $93,000 acting as an early warning level for potential deeper corrections. On lower timeframes, the 50% level ($95,200) serves as a critical pivot point. Holding above this level suggests short-term strength, while a breakdown below could indicate further downside.

Strategies

Short-Term Traders

Consider taking profits on Bitcoin near resistance levels and explore opportunities in altcoins showing relative strength, like ETH, ADA, and XRP. Use stop-loss orders to manage risk.

Long-Term Investors

This might be a good time to diversify into promising altcoins. Dollar-cost averaging remains a prudent strategy for accumulating Bitcoin during dips.

This is not financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and manage risk according to your personal circumstances. The crypto market is inherently volatile, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Stay informed, be adaptable, and invest responsibly.