Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH may surpass critical barrier despite 10% rally profit-taking


Ethereum on-chain analytics show long-term holders selling in recent days.

Ethereum ETFs lost $9 million on Thursday, their sixth straight day of losses.

Ethereum may break $3,400 barrier and rise 10% to $3,732.

On-chain data suggests speculators' profit-taking has pulled down Ethereum (ETH) around $3,300 on Friday. If it breaks $3,400 barrier, the top cryptocurrency might rise 10% to $3,732.

The surge in ETH's Age Consumed statistic, which analyzes the number of ETH changing addresses daily compared to the days since they last moved, suggests long-term holders took most of the gains. This measure spikes when several idle tokens travel between addresses.

Lookonchain's Friday X article showed that an Ethereum whale sold 73,356 ETH worth $224.42 million in two weeks after the price spike.


ETH exchange net flows and open interest are somewhat positive. According to CryptoQuant's research, the leading cryptocurrency had net withdrawals of over 100K ETH worth ~$320 million in the previous three days. Exchange outflows suggest purchasing pressure, unlike ETF flows.

On Thursday, Coinglass statistics showed Ethereum's open interest reaching a record $20 billion.

Ethereum fell 1% after $49.32 million in 24-hour futures liquidations. Long and short liquidations were $28.32 million and $21 million.

For two weeks, ETH has traded in a rectangular channel with resistance at $3,400 and support near $3,000 psychological level. The top altcoin repeated a rectangular rejection on Thursday and is challenging the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) blue line.

A drop below the EMA might help ETH reach $3,000 psychological support. If ETH rebounds, purchasing momentum might push it beyond $3,400. ETH might rise almost 10% to $3,732 barrier.

If the $3,000 support fails, ETH might fall below $2,817, an important support level from April to July.

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