2020 election
After the most recent voting, the November 2020 election, which coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic, Bitcoin rose by 478% a year later, reaching a market peak of around $69,000. It hit an all-time high of $73,000 in October 2024.
After each event, with Bitcoin's price significantly higher than four years prior, the magnitude of the jumps has decreased, providing diminishing returns. The percentage decrease between the first and second numbers is 70%. Between the second and third, it is 87%. If we continue this trend and assume this time, the decrease will be around 90%; this implies a post-election rebound of approximately 47.8%. This would put Bitcoin at around $103,500 in the fourth quarter of 2025.$BTC