2024 ELECTION BREAKDOWN: The Numbers Game 🧵
Just analyzed electoral college math & swing state data. Here's the key intel:
ELECTORAL SYSTEM:
Total Electoral Votes: 538
Needed to Win: 270
System: Winner-takes-all (except ME & NE)
CURRENT PROJECTION:
Trump Path:
Solid Red: 187 votes
Lean Red: 43 votes
Swing States: 45 votes (in play)
= 275 potential votes
Harris Path:
Solid Blue: 182 votes
Lean Blue: 41 votes
Swing States: 40 votes (in play)
= 263 potential votes
KEY BATTLEGROUNDS:
Pennsylvania (19 votes):
Current: 50-50 split
Musk factor: $5M voter drive
Critical state
Nevada Flip:
Was: Harris leading
Now: Trump advantage
Demonstrates volatility
Market Impact:
Short-term: High volatility near Nov 5
Leverage: High risk zone
Strategy: Spot over futures
Key Insight: Trump leads but swing states still fluid. PA remains the kingmaker.
Are you ready for Nov 5? 🤔