Macroeconomy
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THIS WEEKEND COULD BE DIFFERENT FOR CRYPTO
ZH has pointed out multiple times that whenever ETF hype dies down, the bear market narrative kicks in. Historically, Bitcoin always dips over the weekend, and this week is no exception—the price action has been delayed.
Now, I was wondering earlier why M1 growth and retail sales didn’t move Bitcoin’s price. Turns out, it’s the long weekend slowing things down, exactly as I expected this morning. With Monday being a holiday, Bitcoin’s movements have stalled, which aligns with my analysis that sentiment is fading.
According to J Kendrick, a crypto analyst at Standard Chartered, Bitcoin’s slow movement on Friday now makes sense.
On 25 January, the market only reacted to the DeepSeek effect on Monday.
On 1 February, the Trump tariff news only impacted Bitcoin by Tuesday.
This isn’t normal—it’s unusual.
Kendrick emphasises that Monday and Friday are the key days when Bitcoin makes big moves, either up or down. Saturdays and Sundays? Dead.
However, with the 10-year yield dropping below 4.5% and recent tariff decisions, Kendrick believes:
The small-volume buying from BlackRock and Fidelity towards the weekend could be a signal that ETF demand will be strong on Monday, after ETFs showed negative flows all week.
From there? $100K, then straight to $102K.
At the end of the day, Bitcoin is a Giffen Good.
Kendrick believes that if BlackRock buys in small amounts over the weekend, they'll scoop up thousands of Bitcoin by Monday.
A Giffen Good is an economic term for a product that people buy more of even when the price rises. This defies the law of supply and demand, which says demand should fall as prices go up. Bitcoin? The higher it goes, the more people want it. Thats why it’s a Giffen Good.
Saturday, 15 February Market Outlook
$BTC $ETH #StandardChartered #macroeconomy
source: @ZeroHedge
ZH has pointed out multiple times that whenever ETF hype dies down, the bear market narrative kicks in. Historically, Bitcoin always dips over the weekend, and this week is no exception—the price action has been delayed.
Now, I was wondering earlier why M1 growth and retail sales didn’t move Bitcoin’s price. Turns out, it’s the long weekend slowing things down, exactly as I expected this morning. With Monday being a holiday, Bitcoin’s movements have stalled, which aligns with my analysis that sentiment is fading.
According to J Kendrick, a crypto analyst at Standard Chartered, Bitcoin’s slow movement on Friday now makes sense.
On 25 January, the market only reacted to the DeepSeek effect on Monday.
On 1 February, the Trump tariff news only impacted Bitcoin by Tuesday.
This isn’t normal—it’s unusual.
Kendrick emphasises that Monday and Friday are the key days when Bitcoin makes big moves, either up or down. Saturdays and Sundays? Dead.
However, with the 10-year yield dropping below 4.5% and recent tariff decisions, Kendrick believes:
The small-volume buying from BlackRock and Fidelity towards the weekend could be a signal that ETF demand will be strong on Monday, after ETFs showed negative flows all week.
From there? $100K, then straight to $102K.
At the end of the day, Bitcoin is a Giffen Good.
Kendrick believes that if BlackRock buys in small amounts over the weekend, they'll scoop up thousands of Bitcoin by Monday.
A Giffen Good is an economic term for a product that people buy more of even when the price rises. This defies the law of supply and demand, which says demand should fall as prices go up. Bitcoin? The higher it goes, the more people want it. Thats why it’s a Giffen Good.
Saturday, 15 February Market Outlook
$BTC $ETH #StandardChartered #macroeconomy
source: @ZeroHedge
WHY $BTC DUMPED and RECLAIMS 100k LAST NIGHT?
one of the key is about DXY, what is DXY?
DXY is an index that measures the strength of the US dollar against six major world currencies like (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD).
so if DXY is up, it means the USD is strengthening relative to these currencies.
the key is here: DXY up => BTC down.
and vice-versa. look at the chart!! it is highly correlated to BTC, just look the similarity! same pattern right?
analyzing DXY is way more easier than analyzing BTC itself.
whats make DXY rise:
1. USD liquidty
just like yesterday news, US president announce about tariffs. it makes other non-dollar countries converted their currencies to USD, making DXY is up so BTC dumped to 93K.
2. US Interest Rates
if US interest rates rise, the DXY tends to rise as investors seek higher yields.it happens last week when FED announced they will cut-rate making DXY fall and BTC pump to 105k++
3. US Economy Fundamental
its about other data like GDP, PMI, JOLTS, NFP and etc that we'll discuss it later
Fundamental ALWAYS move the Market, while Technical is for timing the Market
read more=>JUST SIDEWAYS, NOT BEARMARKET
$ETH #MarketPullback #macroeconomy
thanks to: @hoteliercrypto
one of the key is about DXY, what is DXY?
DXY is an index that measures the strength of the US dollar against six major world currencies like (EUR, JPY, GBP, CAD).
so if DXY is up, it means the USD is strengthening relative to these currencies.
the key is here: DXY up => BTC down.
and vice-versa. look at the chart!! it is highly correlated to BTC, just look the similarity! same pattern right?
analyzing DXY is way more easier than analyzing BTC itself.
whats make DXY rise:
1. USD liquidty
just like yesterday news, US president announce about tariffs. it makes other non-dollar countries converted their currencies to USD, making DXY is up so BTC dumped to 93K.
2. US Interest Rates
if US interest rates rise, the DXY tends to rise as investors seek higher yields.it happens last week when FED announced they will cut-rate making DXY fall and BTC pump to 105k++
3. US Economy Fundamental
its about other data like GDP, PMI, JOLTS, NFP and etc that we'll discuss it later
Fundamental ALWAYS move the Market, while Technical is for timing the Market
read more=>JUST SIDEWAYS, NOT BEARMARKET
$ETH #MarketPullback #macroeconomy
thanks to: @hoteliercrypto
Breaking Down Today’s Market Signals
✔️ People’s income is dropping.
✔️ House purchases are declining.
So… where is the U.S. getting its money from?
But wait, —Jobless Claims actually dropped. That makes sense after the mass deportations.
Immigrants who took local jobs are gone. Now, locals are filling those positions, which lowered unemployment. So maybe job openings will increase next week.
But think about it—GDP is falling, which means liquidity is drying up. To push GDP back up, liquidity has to be injected.
If the government doesn’t want to explain where the money will come from, Bitcoin can. Proof? Gold is pumping.
---
PCE Index Report – The Key Indicator
Today’s PCE Index is coming—leaks at the picture
✔️ If PCE rises → DXY rises → The data makes sense.
✔️ If PCE is up, inflation rises. But if the economy is stable, the Fed will hold rates.
PCE is the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge.
Now, here’s the trick:
✔️ If DXY rises because the economy is improving (e.g., lower unemployment) → Bitcoin corrects.
✔️ If DXY rises because U.S. debt is growing → Bitcoin stays strong.
Rising PCE means more U.S. debt—but the debt ceiling hasn’t been raised yet.
So… how screwed are they? 😂
conclusions : inflation raise => $BTC also raises 😂
$ETH #inflation #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
✔️ People’s income is dropping.
✔️ House purchases are declining.
So… where is the U.S. getting its money from?
But wait, —Jobless Claims actually dropped. That makes sense after the mass deportations.
Immigrants who took local jobs are gone. Now, locals are filling those positions, which lowered unemployment. So maybe job openings will increase next week.
But think about it—GDP is falling, which means liquidity is drying up. To push GDP back up, liquidity has to be injected.
If the government doesn’t want to explain where the money will come from, Bitcoin can. Proof? Gold is pumping.
---
PCE Index Report – The Key Indicator
Today’s PCE Index is coming—leaks at the picture
✔️ If PCE rises → DXY rises → The data makes sense.
✔️ If PCE is up, inflation rises. But if the economy is stable, the Fed will hold rates.
PCE is the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge.
Now, here’s the trick:
✔️ If DXY rises because the economy is improving (e.g., lower unemployment) → Bitcoin corrects.
✔️ If DXY rises because U.S. debt is growing → Bitcoin stays strong.
Rising PCE means more U.S. debt—but the debt ceiling hasn’t been raised yet.
So… how screwed are they? 😂
conclusions : inflation raise => $BTC also raises 😂
$ETH #inflation #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
GM 🍜
Market Briefing..
China's M1 money supply is up, but retail sales have dropped by -0.9%, and the RRP (reverse repo rate) is at zero. This means the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has lost its momentum—at least for now, domestically in the US🤷🏻♂️🤬
Bitcoin is taking it easy on Saturday since institutions are off. "Taking it easy" means the closing price tomorrow, February 16th, won’t be too far from today’s closing price on February 15th, which ended at $97,287 at 00:00 UTC.🌊
As I mentioned yesterday, when Bitcoin closes higher, the next candle is usually green. Last night, Bitcoin nearly broke $99K.📈📈
I think I’ve discovered something new—just like all of you here, I’m always learning every day.😎RSI: 48☔
Market Outlook (UTC)
🟢00:00 – 07:00: → Green candles (This is due to China's M1 money supply increase, which also pushes altcoins up.)
🔴8:00 – 10:00: → Red candles (Short correction or profit-taking period.)
🟡11:00 – 15:00: → Chilling, low volatility
🟢16:00 – 00:00: → Wick formation (price fluctuation before settling)
If just using stimulus from a stable economy already causes inflation, imagine what happens when stimulus is taken from a declining economy—Bitcoin will pump hard next week... let see🚀🚀🌕🌕
Monday’s "early start" moves from Sunday, meaning today and tomorrow altcoins will perform well.🔥
The key is; If Saturday green, then Sunday will still green. and vice versa. Fundamental ALWAYS move the market, Technical is for timing the market.
$BTC $ETH #China #M1 #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
Market Briefing..
China's M1 money supply is up, but retail sales have dropped by -0.9%, and the RRP (reverse repo rate) is at zero. This means the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has lost its momentum—at least for now, domestically in the US🤷🏻♂️🤬
Bitcoin is taking it easy on Saturday since institutions are off. "Taking it easy" means the closing price tomorrow, February 16th, won’t be too far from today’s closing price on February 15th, which ended at $97,287 at 00:00 UTC.🌊
As I mentioned yesterday, when Bitcoin closes higher, the next candle is usually green. Last night, Bitcoin nearly broke $99K.📈📈
I think I’ve discovered something new—just like all of you here, I’m always learning every day.😎RSI: 48☔
Market Outlook (UTC)
🟢00:00 – 07:00: → Green candles (This is due to China's M1 money supply increase, which also pushes altcoins up.)
🔴8:00 – 10:00: → Red candles (Short correction or profit-taking period.)
🟡11:00 – 15:00: → Chilling, low volatility
🟢16:00 – 00:00: → Wick formation (price fluctuation before settling)
If just using stimulus from a stable economy already causes inflation, imagine what happens when stimulus is taken from a declining economy—Bitcoin will pump hard next week... let see🚀🚀🌕🌕
Monday’s "early start" moves from Sunday, meaning today and tomorrow altcoins will perform well.🔥
The key is; If Saturday green, then Sunday will still green. and vice versa. Fundamental ALWAYS move the market, Technical is for timing the market.
$BTC $ETH #China #M1 #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
🚨Crypto Market Expected to Surge as Macroeconomic Uncertainty Eases🚨
Crypto Market Expected to Surge as Macroeconomic Uncertainty Eases
In recent months, the cryptocurrency market has been showing signs of recovery after a prolonged period of volatility. Many experts are now predicting a significant surge in crypto assets, driven in large part by the easing of macroeconomic uncertainty. Factors such as inflation control, stabilizing interest rates, and a clearer regulatory outlook are contributing to a more favorable environment for digital currencies, signaling a potential bull run.
1. Macroeconomic Conditions Improving
One of the key drivers of the anticipated rise in the crypto market is the improving global macroeconomic landscape. Over the past few years, the world has grappled with multiple crises, including the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions, and high inflation. Central banks around the world responded with aggressive monetary tightening, leading to high interest rates and market turbulence.
However, recent data suggests that inflation is gradually coming under control, particularly in major economies like the U.S. and the Eurozone. This stabilization has alleviated fears of continued rate hikes by central banks such as the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates tend to reduce the attractiveness of fiat currency savings, pushing investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies in search of higher returns.
2. Increased Institutional Investment
The easing of macroeconomic uncertainties has also led to renewed interest in cryptocurrencies from institutional investors. Companies such as BlackRock and Fidelity, which previously maintained a cautious stance on crypto, have been increasing their exposure to digital assets. This influx of institutional money is often seen as a sign of growing confidence in the asset class.
Large-scale investors are generally more risk-averse, so their increasing participation in the market suggests that they view crypto as a long-term opportunity rather than a speculative bubble. This institutional adoption provides much-needed liquidity and stability to the market, reinforcing the potential for a surge in crypto valuations.
3. Regulatory Clarity Boosting Confidence
For years, regulatory uncertainty has been one of the most significant barriers to widespread crypto adoption. Governments and financial regulators around the world have debated how to classify and control cryptocurrencies, leading to confusion and hesitance among investors.
However, there have been promising developments recently. Several major economies, including the United States, the European Union, and the United Kingdom, have made strides in establishing clearer regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies. In the U.S., the introduction of bills like the Digital Asset Market Structure and Investor Protection Act signals a more structured approach to oversight, potentially reducing risks associated with legal ambiguity.
This regulatory clarity is expected to unlock new opportunities for institutional investors and traditional financial institutions to enter the crypto space, driving demand and helping to propel the market higher.
4. Technological Innovations and Layer-2 Solutions
Another factor fueling optimism about the future of the crypto market is the rapid pace of technological innovation. Blockchain technology continues to evolve, with the development of layer-2 solutions, which promise to enhance the scalability and usability of existing blockchain networks like Ethereum. These solutions aim to reduce congestion and transaction costs, making crypto more efficient and attractive for a wide range of use cases, from decentralized finance (DeFi) to NFTs.
The increasing utility of blockchain technology could lead to wider adoption, further boosting demand for crypto assets. As these technologies mature, they are likely to drive more real-world applications, adding value to the underlying tokens and contributing to market growth.
5. Crypto as a Hedge Against Economic Uncertainty
While traditional markets are stabilizing, cryptocurrencies continue to be seen by many as a hedge against future economic uncertainty. Gold has historically played this role, but many now view Bitcoin and other digital assets as "digital gold" due to their decentralized nature and limited supply.
In times of geopolitical or financial instability, cryptocurrencies have shown resilience, often outperforming traditional assets. With the global economy still facing potential risks from trade tensions, political unrest, and future pandemics, many investors are keeping a portion of their portfolios in crypto to safeguard against unexpected disruptions.
6. The Role of Stablecoins
Stablecoins, cryptocurrencies that are pegged to the value of fiat currencies, have also been gaining traction. Their increased use in trading, cross-border transactions, and decentralized applications (dApps) is creating a more liquid and stable market. Stablecoins offer a bridge between traditional finance and crypto, enabling easier entry and exit points for both institutional and retail investors.
As stablecoins continue to gain regulatory acceptance, they could serve as a vital tool for fostering further adoption of other cryptocurrencies, increasing market participation, and laying the groundwork for the next bull run.
7. Challenges to Consider
Despite the optimistic outlook, it is important to acknowledge the risks that remain. Crypto markets are still highly volatile and speculative. Any unforeseen geopolitical events or significant changes in regulatory stances could disrupt the current momentum. Moreover, the possibility of cyberattacks and fraud continues to hang over the market, highlighting the importance of robust security and due diligence.
Conclusion
As macroeconomic uncertainties ease, the cryptocurrency market appears poised for a potential surge. Factors such as the stabilization of global inflation, increasing institutional investment, regulatory clarity, and ongoing technological advancements are setting the stage for significant growth in the crypto space. While risks remain, the long-term outlook for cryptocurrencies is becoming increasingly positive, making it an asset class that investors should continue to watch closely.
#macroeconomy #BNBChainMemecoins #CryptoMarketMoves
In recent months, the cryptocurrency market has been showing signs of recovery after a prolonged period of volatility. Many experts are now predicting a significant surge in crypto assets, driven in large part by the easing of macroeconomic uncertainty. Factors such as inflation control, stabilizing interest rates, and a clearer regulatory outlook are contributing to a more favorable environment for digital currencies, signaling a potential bull run.
1. Macroeconomic Conditions Improving
One of the key drivers of the anticipated rise in the crypto market is the improving global macroeconomic landscape. Over the past few years, the world has grappled with multiple crises, including the COVID-19 pandemic, supply chain disruptions, and high inflation. Central banks around the world responded with aggressive monetary tightening, leading to high interest rates and market turbulence.
However, recent data suggests that inflation is gradually coming under control, particularly in major economies like the U.S. and the Eurozone. This stabilization has alleviated fears of continued rate hikes by central banks such as the Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates tend to reduce the attractiveness of fiat currency savings, pushing investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies in search of higher returns.
2. Increased Institutional Investment
The easing of macroeconomic uncertainties has also led to renewed interest in cryptocurrencies from institutional investors. Companies such as BlackRock and Fidelity, which previously maintained a cautious stance on crypto, have been increasing their exposure to digital assets. This influx of institutional money is often seen as a sign of growing confidence in the asset class.
Large-scale investors are generally more risk-averse, so their increasing participation in the market suggests that they view crypto as a long-term opportunity rather than a speculative bubble. This institutional adoption provides much-needed liquidity and stability to the market, reinforcing the potential for a surge in crypto valuations.
3. Regulatory Clarity Boosting Confidence
For years, regulatory uncertainty has been one of the most significant barriers to widespread crypto adoption. Governments and financial regulators around the world have debated how to classify and control cryptocurrencies, leading to confusion and hesitance among investors.
However, there have been promising developments recently. Several major economies, including the United States, the European Union, and the United Kingdom, have made strides in establishing clearer regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies. In the U.S., the introduction of bills like the Digital Asset Market Structure and Investor Protection Act signals a more structured approach to oversight, potentially reducing risks associated with legal ambiguity.
This regulatory clarity is expected to unlock new opportunities for institutional investors and traditional financial institutions to enter the crypto space, driving demand and helping to propel the market higher.
4. Technological Innovations and Layer-2 Solutions
Another factor fueling optimism about the future of the crypto market is the rapid pace of technological innovation. Blockchain technology continues to evolve, with the development of layer-2 solutions, which promise to enhance the scalability and usability of existing blockchain networks like Ethereum. These solutions aim to reduce congestion and transaction costs, making crypto more efficient and attractive for a wide range of use cases, from decentralized finance (DeFi) to NFTs.
The increasing utility of blockchain technology could lead to wider adoption, further boosting demand for crypto assets. As these technologies mature, they are likely to drive more real-world applications, adding value to the underlying tokens and contributing to market growth.
5. Crypto as a Hedge Against Economic Uncertainty
While traditional markets are stabilizing, cryptocurrencies continue to be seen by many as a hedge against future economic uncertainty. Gold has historically played this role, but many now view Bitcoin and other digital assets as "digital gold" due to their decentralized nature and limited supply.
In times of geopolitical or financial instability, cryptocurrencies have shown resilience, often outperforming traditional assets. With the global economy still facing potential risks from trade tensions, political unrest, and future pandemics, many investors are keeping a portion of their portfolios in crypto to safeguard against unexpected disruptions.
6. The Role of Stablecoins
Stablecoins, cryptocurrencies that are pegged to the value of fiat currencies, have also been gaining traction. Their increased use in trading, cross-border transactions, and decentralized applications (dApps) is creating a more liquid and stable market. Stablecoins offer a bridge between traditional finance and crypto, enabling easier entry and exit points for both institutional and retail investors.
As stablecoins continue to gain regulatory acceptance, they could serve as a vital tool for fostering further adoption of other cryptocurrencies, increasing market participation, and laying the groundwork for the next bull run.
7. Challenges to Consider
Despite the optimistic outlook, it is important to acknowledge the risks that remain. Crypto markets are still highly volatile and speculative. Any unforeseen geopolitical events or significant changes in regulatory stances could disrupt the current momentum. Moreover, the possibility of cyberattacks and fraud continues to hang over the market, highlighting the importance of robust security and due diligence.
Conclusion
As macroeconomic uncertainties ease, the cryptocurrency market appears poised for a potential surge. Factors such as the stabilization of global inflation, increasing institutional investment, regulatory clarity, and ongoing technological advancements are setting the stage for significant growth in the crypto space. While risks remain, the long-term outlook for cryptocurrencies is becoming increasingly positive, making it an asset class that investors should continue to watch closely.
#macroeconomy #BNBChainMemecoins #CryptoMarketMoves
Ron Paul: To Make America Great Again, Separate Money from the State
The government shouldn’t control money. The market should.
Yesterday, I mentioned that Trump announced the Treasury will lead efforts to eliminate unnecessary regulations and issue mass loans to U.S. citizens and businesses.
The stimulus package has a nice title:
"Emergency Relief for Rising Prices and Fighting the Cost of Living Crisis."
Sounds great, right? 😂😂😂
But at the end of the day, it’s just another stimulus.
$BTC $ETH #inflation #macroeconomy
source : @zerohedge
The government shouldn’t control money. The market should.
Yesterday, I mentioned that Trump announced the Treasury will lead efforts to eliminate unnecessary regulations and issue mass loans to U.S. citizens and businesses.
The stimulus package has a nice title:
"Emergency Relief for Rising Prices and Fighting the Cost of Living Crisis."
Sounds great, right? 😂😂😂
But at the end of the day, it’s just another stimulus.
$BTC $ETH #inflation #macroeconomy
source : @zerohedge
NEWS: The Head of the Czech National Bank, Aleš Michl, is set to present a plan to invest €7B in Bitcoin to the central bank's board this week.
Nation-state adoption is accelerating, Massive Bullrun Incoming🚀🚀🌕🌕
and how can u be so pessimistic??? just buy dip!
$BTC $ETH #globaladoption #macroeconomy
source: heyapollo.com
Nation-state adoption is accelerating, Massive Bullrun Incoming🚀🚀🌕🌕
and how can u be so pessimistic??? just buy dip!
$BTC $ETH #globaladoption #macroeconomy
source: heyapollo.com
🚀MARKET RECAP TODAY🚀
- President Trump delay the tariff to China
US President and PRC President discussing about the delays of tariffs, making the market goes up (Crypto, Stocks, Commodities)
- JOLTS down and Factory Order down making a small correction, but by data it'll be wicky.
- $GOLD reach ATH and continuing up
- Crude Oil turned up positively after falls below 3% yesterday.
as we know, Gold and Commodities have good correlation to Bitcoin..
if we see #GOLD is up, so $BTC will up too🚀🌕
as well as commodities like Crude Oil, thats why the correction tonight will be wicky (means pullback)
#Macroeconomy #MarketPullback
- President Trump delay the tariff to China
US President and PRC President discussing about the delays of tariffs, making the market goes up (Crypto, Stocks, Commodities)
- JOLTS down and Factory Order down making a small correction, but by data it'll be wicky.
- $GOLD reach ATH and continuing up
- Crude Oil turned up positively after falls below 3% yesterday.
as we know, Gold and Commodities have good correlation to Bitcoin..
if we see #GOLD is up, so $BTC will up too🚀🌕
as well as commodities like Crude Oil, thats why the correction tonight will be wicky (means pullback)
#Macroeconomy #MarketPullback
Stimulus soon.
Let those who leave the market, we'll just get rich first, we don't need to think about other people.
That's the meaning of gold going up. Many Trumps commented that if gold rose, it meant they had no money. Take a look, if people have a lot of money, they keep quiet.
remember $GOLD up => $BTC up🚀🚀🌕🌕
as they are the same as inflation hedge
$ETH #gold #macroeconomy
source: @zerohedge
Let those who leave the market, we'll just get rich first, we don't need to think about other people.
That's the meaning of gold going up. Many Trumps commented that if gold rose, it meant they had no money. Take a look, if people have a lot of money, they keep quiet.
remember $GOLD up => $BTC up🚀🚀🌕🌕
as they are the same as inflation hedge
$ETH #gold #macroeconomy
source: @zerohedge
BTC soars to 98K after 4 days wick🖐🏻😁
If M1 Goes Up, Bitcoin Goes Up.📉📈
I always say this—the world is connected. The ones holding the money are always the same, and the ones buying are always the same. And just like in any workplace, there are "bosses" running the show. You need to know who's got the money. 💰👀
People used to ask me, "Why do you always look at U.S. data?" My answer was simple: because that’s where the money is. But now, if the money shifts to China, I’ll start looking at China’s data instead—and this is where it begins. 🇨🇳
"But isn’t Bitcoin banned in China?" That’s an outdated way of thinking. Some people still believe Bitcoin only goes up when big players buy and down when they sell. But if that were true, it would be a Ponzi scheme. Bitcoin isn’t a Ponzi—it’s an asset class. 📊
An asset class means Bitcoin is now tied to gold, inflation, oil, stock indexes, and even global conflicts. It doesn’t just move because someone is buying or selling.
So what does China’s M1 Supply have to do with Bitcoin?
China’s M1 data shows how much cash is circulating. If M1 goes up, Bitcoin also goes up. Why? Because when the economy isn’t growing but liquidity is increasing, inflation rises—just like we saw in China recently. 🔥💸
Now, if Bitcoin can sit at $97K in the current economy, imagine what happens if things go south.
Why not look at M2 instead?
Well, China’s M2 has been rising for a year now, but M1 only started climbing in December 2024.
For the past four years, China’s been injecting liquidity, then pulling it back. Pump in 1.15T Yuan, then pull out 1T Yuan.
And what’s the result? U.S. liquidity is drying up—China played them at their own game.
Long live China. 😌🇨🇳🚀🚀🌕🌕
watch full of analysis this week here; MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 FEBRUARY
$BTC $ETH #China #M1 #macroeconomy
source; @hoteliercrypto
If M1 Goes Up, Bitcoin Goes Up.📉📈
I always say this—the world is connected. The ones holding the money are always the same, and the ones buying are always the same. And just like in any workplace, there are "bosses" running the show. You need to know who's got the money. 💰👀
People used to ask me, "Why do you always look at U.S. data?" My answer was simple: because that’s where the money is. But now, if the money shifts to China, I’ll start looking at China’s data instead—and this is where it begins. 🇨🇳
"But isn’t Bitcoin banned in China?" That’s an outdated way of thinking. Some people still believe Bitcoin only goes up when big players buy and down when they sell. But if that were true, it would be a Ponzi scheme. Bitcoin isn’t a Ponzi—it’s an asset class. 📊
An asset class means Bitcoin is now tied to gold, inflation, oil, stock indexes, and even global conflicts. It doesn’t just move because someone is buying or selling.
So what does China’s M1 Supply have to do with Bitcoin?
China’s M1 data shows how much cash is circulating. If M1 goes up, Bitcoin also goes up. Why? Because when the economy isn’t growing but liquidity is increasing, inflation rises—just like we saw in China recently. 🔥💸
Now, if Bitcoin can sit at $97K in the current economy, imagine what happens if things go south.
Why not look at M2 instead?
Well, China’s M2 has been rising for a year now, but M1 only started climbing in December 2024.
For the past four years, China’s been injecting liquidity, then pulling it back. Pump in 1.15T Yuan, then pull out 1T Yuan.
And what’s the result? U.S. liquidity is drying up—China played them at their own game.
Long live China. 😌🇨🇳🚀🚀🌕🌕
watch full of analysis this week here; MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 FEBRUARY
$BTC $ETH #China #M1 #macroeconomy
source; @hoteliercrypto
GM🍜
Briefing
Bitcoin has hit $98K. The rise in CPI and Core CPI suggests that inflation won’t return to 2%, meaning the new inflation target could shift to 3%, with many countries likely to follow suit.
The fact that CPI is rising but the DXY (US Dollar Index) is dropping indicates that the Fed’s strategy to control inflation at 2% has failed.📊 RSI: 48
Today's Market Outlook (UTC):
00:00 - 07:00 🟢 (Bullish) – Japan’s PPI rises from 3.9% to 4.2%, meaning inflation in Japan is increasing.
08:00 - 10:00 🟡 (Slightly Bullish, but Waiting) – Expecting China’s M1 money supply data to be released today.
11:00 - 14:00 🟢 (Bullish) – US CPI remains high and is unlikely to drop soon. China doesn’t want capital to flow into the US
15:00 - 18:00 🟢 (Bullish) – US PPI rises, further confirming inflation trends.
19:00 - 21:00 🔴 (Bearish) – Market Makers manipulate the market, causing some volatility.
22:00 - 08:00 🟢 (Bullish) – Reverse Repo (RRP) drops,
A falling DXY and rising Bitcoin reflect the true value of money.
Geopolitical Notes:
➡Trump meeting with Putin and Saudi Arabia is his way of isolating China.
➡At the end of the day, Western powers want to maintain dominance. Historically, Asian, Arab, and African nations were never meant to lead.
➡This is a test for Putin—will he remain loyal to China or betray them?
🥶Media is toxic—the easiest strategy? Do the opposite of what they push, like Jim Cramer’s reverse calls. If the media praises something, be skeptical. If they’re spreading negativity, stay calm—they just want more ad revenue.🙄😁
Btw, our analysis yesterday was right again, check our ONE WEEK ANALYSIS here to make your trading plan a week long=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 FEBRUARY
$BTC $ETH #CPIHighestSinceJune #inflation #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
Briefing
Bitcoin has hit $98K. The rise in CPI and Core CPI suggests that inflation won’t return to 2%, meaning the new inflation target could shift to 3%, with many countries likely to follow suit.
The fact that CPI is rising but the DXY (US Dollar Index) is dropping indicates that the Fed’s strategy to control inflation at 2% has failed.📊 RSI: 48
Today's Market Outlook (UTC):
00:00 - 07:00 🟢 (Bullish) – Japan’s PPI rises from 3.9% to 4.2%, meaning inflation in Japan is increasing.
08:00 - 10:00 🟡 (Slightly Bullish, but Waiting) – Expecting China’s M1 money supply data to be released today.
11:00 - 14:00 🟢 (Bullish) – US CPI remains high and is unlikely to drop soon. China doesn’t want capital to flow into the US
15:00 - 18:00 🟢 (Bullish) – US PPI rises, further confirming inflation trends.
19:00 - 21:00 🔴 (Bearish) – Market Makers manipulate the market, causing some volatility.
22:00 - 08:00 🟢 (Bullish) – Reverse Repo (RRP) drops,
A falling DXY and rising Bitcoin reflect the true value of money.
Geopolitical Notes:
➡Trump meeting with Putin and Saudi Arabia is his way of isolating China.
➡At the end of the day, Western powers want to maintain dominance. Historically, Asian, Arab, and African nations were never meant to lead.
➡This is a test for Putin—will he remain loyal to China or betray them?
🥶Media is toxic—the easiest strategy? Do the opposite of what they push, like Jim Cramer’s reverse calls. If the media praises something, be skeptical. If they’re spreading negativity, stay calm—they just want more ad revenue.🙄😁
Btw, our analysis yesterday was right again, check our ONE WEEK ANALYSIS here to make your trading plan a week long=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 FEBRUARY
$BTC $ETH #CPIHighestSinceJune #inflation #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
Yeah thats right!, our prediction was right again!😁
Just this Morning, we predict that the tonight's the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data release.
Simply if NFP down => $BTC was up
check out our morning article here => Bitcoin 7th February 2025
Factory spending (PMI) is up, but orders, consumer spending, and job openings are down. Private payrolls (ADP) are up, which doesn't make sense.
Good data usually means gold doesn't rise, unless lots of money is being printed.
If NFP is down, how can the Fed be hawkish? NFP down means the Fed isn't doing its job.
If NFP is down, Bitcoin usually goes up.
Remember that Fundamental ALWAYS move the markt, while technical just for timing the market.
KEEP LEARNING and STUDYING🚀🚀🌕🌕
$ETH #NFP #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
Just this Morning, we predict that the tonight's the US Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data release.
Simply if NFP down => $BTC was up
check out our morning article here => Bitcoin 7th February 2025
Factory spending (PMI) is up, but orders, consumer spending, and job openings are down. Private payrolls (ADP) are up, which doesn't make sense.
Good data usually means gold doesn't rise, unless lots of money is being printed.
If NFP is down, how can the Fed be hawkish? NFP down means the Fed isn't doing its job.
If NFP is down, Bitcoin usually goes up.
Remember that Fundamental ALWAYS move the markt, while technical just for timing the market.
KEEP LEARNING and STUDYING🚀🚀🌕🌕
$ETH #NFP #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
🇨🇳 CHINA'S DONG FENG AUTO GROUP JUMPED ABOUT 50% IN HONG KONG ON MONDAY AFTER THE AUTOMAKER PLANNED TO MERGE WITH OTHER STATE-OWNED GROUPS.
Its because the Stimulus given by China Government.
Also, this already predicted by our previous posts.
check it here=> Market Update 10 February 2025
As an reaction, BTC up from $95000 to $97000.
consider to follow us for further information updates🖐🏻😁
$BTC $ETH #CHINA #macroeconomy
source: @Sino_Market
Its because the Stimulus given by China Government.
Also, this already predicted by our previous posts.
check it here=> Market Update 10 February 2025
As an reaction, BTC up from $95000 to $97000.
consider to follow us for further information updates🖐🏻😁
$BTC $ETH #CHINA #macroeconomy
source: @Sino_Market
ONLY SIDEWAYS AND U THINK IT'LL BE BEARMARKET!?!?
GM guys, $BTC was up $10K+ for few hours only, JUST Fake Out..
Fundamental always moves the Market, Technical timing the Market.
Today there will be an announcement of JOLTS and Factory Order. That data will moves the market.. BTC should correct today, but since its first day since Chinese New Year, PBOC there will definitely be an injection of RRP etc. to maintain public spending which has increased due to Chinese New Year....what will happen next?🖐🏻😅
RSI 49
$ETH #MarketPullback #macroeconomy
read more=> WHY BTC DUMPED and PUMPED
source: @hoteliercrypto
GM guys, $BTC was up $10K+ for few hours only, JUST Fake Out..
Fundamental always moves the Market, Technical timing the Market.
Today there will be an announcement of JOLTS and Factory Order. That data will moves the market.. BTC should correct today, but since its first day since Chinese New Year, PBOC there will definitely be an injection of RRP etc. to maintain public spending which has increased due to Chinese New Year....what will happen next?🖐🏻😅
RSI 49
$ETH #MarketPullback #macroeconomy
read more=> WHY BTC DUMPED and PUMPED
source: @hoteliercrypto
NEWS: GOLD FUTURES RISE ON INVESTOR CONCERNS AROUND POTENTIAL U.S. TARIFFS-WSJ
if gold rise so $BTC will also rise..
and if Bitcoin rise, $ETH will more pumped..
and u still concern that Ethereum are hopeless??
#gold #futures #macroeconomy
source: @FirstSquawk
if gold rise so $BTC will also rise..
and if Bitcoin rise, $ETH will more pumped..
and u still concern that Ethereum are hopeless??
#gold #futures #macroeconomy
source: @FirstSquawk
BLOOMBERG:
BLACKROCK TO LAUNCH BITCOIN ETP IN EUROPE
how could an big institution planning to launch a asset for communities to invests if it'll be drawdowned or bearmarket?
Bitcoin still very bullish!🚀🌕
$BTC $ETH #macroeconomy
source: @zerohedge
BLACKROCK TO LAUNCH BITCOIN ETP IN EUROPE
how could an big institution planning to launch a asset for communities to invests if it'll be drawdowned or bearmarket?
Bitcoin still very bullish!🚀🌕
$BTC $ETH #macroeconomy
source: @zerohedge
GM guys..
🔥Bitcoin Briefing Summary: 7th February 2025🔥
Economic data carries different weights; weekly jobless claims are less significant than the monthly non-farm payrolls (NFP), which has a greater impact on Bitcoin. Bitcoin's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 32, whic means oversold😁
Each month, analysis focuses on predicting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) using data such as retail sales, Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), factory orders, and others to anticipate the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) decision. This week's data indicates inflation will rise next week: retail sales are down, factory orders are down, durable goods are down, job openings are down, ADP (Automatic Data Processing) is up, while NFP is expected to decline. The 4P theory (jobs, unemployment, housing, printing) confirms the direction of inflation.🤔
Bitcoin is an inflation hedge. If inflation rises, Bitcoin rises, unless interest rates are hiked. In the long run, Bitcoin always wins because interest rate hikes cannot be sustained indefinitely. Bitcoin is driven by money printing, not real economic growth.🚀🌕
The overnight reverse repo (RRP) is down by only 1 billion, indicating liquidity is not yet optimal. Trump has softened his stance on interest rate policy, but the Fed remains "on pause" with an RRP strategy nearing zero. 🤩
Trump's stimulus aims to boost the economy without inflation, but the Fed is limiting its impact. The US strategy of reducing spending (USAID, immigrants, foreign troops) is a way to reduce dollar holders without reducing liquidity. Inflation remains inevitable.🥶
the key is here:
NFP down => BTC up
CPI up => BTC up
FED Dovish => BTC up
ADP down => BTC up
RRP down => DXY down
DXY down => BTC up
Inflation up => BTC up
BTC up => Altcoins up
so, when Altseason?😅
stay alert for today's NFP news, our predict was down, and we will see market will have STRONG reactions🚀🌕
source: @hoteliercrypto
$BTC $ETH #NFP #macroeconomy
🔥Bitcoin Briefing Summary: 7th February 2025🔥
Economic data carries different weights; weekly jobless claims are less significant than the monthly non-farm payrolls (NFP), which has a greater impact on Bitcoin. Bitcoin's RSI (Relative Strength Index) is currently at 32, whic means oversold😁
Each month, analysis focuses on predicting the Consumer Price Index (CPI) using data such as retail sales, Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), factory orders, and others to anticipate the Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) decision. This week's data indicates inflation will rise next week: retail sales are down, factory orders are down, durable goods are down, job openings are down, ADP (Automatic Data Processing) is up, while NFP is expected to decline. The 4P theory (jobs, unemployment, housing, printing) confirms the direction of inflation.🤔
Bitcoin is an inflation hedge. If inflation rises, Bitcoin rises, unless interest rates are hiked. In the long run, Bitcoin always wins because interest rate hikes cannot be sustained indefinitely. Bitcoin is driven by money printing, not real economic growth.🚀🌕
The overnight reverse repo (RRP) is down by only 1 billion, indicating liquidity is not yet optimal. Trump has softened his stance on interest rate policy, but the Fed remains "on pause" with an RRP strategy nearing zero. 🤩
Trump's stimulus aims to boost the economy without inflation, but the Fed is limiting its impact. The US strategy of reducing spending (USAID, immigrants, foreign troops) is a way to reduce dollar holders without reducing liquidity. Inflation remains inevitable.🥶
the key is here:
NFP down => BTC up
CPI up => BTC up
FED Dovish => BTC up
ADP down => BTC up
RRP down => DXY down
DXY down => BTC up
Inflation up => BTC up
BTC up => Altcoins up
so, when Altseason?😅
stay alert for today's NFP news, our predict was down, and we will see market will have STRONG reactions🚀🌕
source: @hoteliercrypto
$BTC $ETH #NFP #macroeconomy
GM... ☕💹
Powell’s speech last night? A fake hawkish stance—all talk, no action. The proof? DXY dropped while he was speaking. That’s a dovish signal. His key statement? M2 money supply is rising, which tends to fuel inflation. That means M2 will likely keep increasing.
Tonight, US CPI data is coming in. Meanwhile, China’s M1 might drop today as well. RSI: 33 📊
⏰ Market Outlook Today (UTC):
00:00 - 02:00 🟡 (Calm, wait-and-see mode)
03:00 - 07:00 🟢 (PBOC injects liquidity, Japan’s M3 slightly up)
08:00 - 09:00 🔴 (Market drops ahead of China’s M1—if it’s not delayed—plus Asian stock market closes)
10:00 - 14:00 🟢 (US CPI expected to rise, but Core CPI remains flat)
15:00 - 17:00 🔴 (Market Maker games—watch out for manipulation)
18:00 - 08:00 🟢 (RRP below $70 billion for the first time since 2021—bullish for liquidity!)
⚠️ Potential Risks: If China’s M1 is delayed again, that could throw off today’s analysis. But what’s in my control? Tracking M1 trends, CPI data, and Core CPI movements.
🔮 Bitcoin looks set to rise today. That’s my take. If I’m wrong, well... apologies in advance. 😆
🍚REMEMBER: Fundamental ALWAYS move the market, while Technical is for timing the market.
Watch our 1 week Market Deep Analysis here=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 FEBRUARY So u can make your trading plan for a week-long🚀🌕
$BTC $ETH #Powell #CPI #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
Powell’s speech last night? A fake hawkish stance—all talk, no action. The proof? DXY dropped while he was speaking. That’s a dovish signal. His key statement? M2 money supply is rising, which tends to fuel inflation. That means M2 will likely keep increasing.
Tonight, US CPI data is coming in. Meanwhile, China’s M1 might drop today as well. RSI: 33 📊
⏰ Market Outlook Today (UTC):
00:00 - 02:00 🟡 (Calm, wait-and-see mode)
03:00 - 07:00 🟢 (PBOC injects liquidity, Japan’s M3 slightly up)
08:00 - 09:00 🔴 (Market drops ahead of China’s M1—if it’s not delayed—plus Asian stock market closes)
10:00 - 14:00 🟢 (US CPI expected to rise, but Core CPI remains flat)
15:00 - 17:00 🔴 (Market Maker games—watch out for manipulation)
18:00 - 08:00 🟢 (RRP below $70 billion for the first time since 2021—bullish for liquidity!)
⚠️ Potential Risks: If China’s M1 is delayed again, that could throw off today’s analysis. But what’s in my control? Tracking M1 trends, CPI data, and Core CPI movements.
🔮 Bitcoin looks set to rise today. That’s my take. If I’m wrong, well... apologies in advance. 😆
🍚REMEMBER: Fundamental ALWAYS move the market, while Technical is for timing the market.
Watch our 1 week Market Deep Analysis here=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 FEBRUARY So u can make your trading plan for a week-long🚀🌕
$BTC $ETH #Powell #CPI #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
GM... 🍜🍚
Bitcoin is up—just as predicted, even though China’s M1 data got delayed. It was supposed to come out today. Meanwhile, RRP is dropping again, which is a good sign. The U.S. has no major data today, but later tonight, Powell is speaking, and he’s expected to be dovish (meaning he won’t push for aggressive policies)🚀🌕
If there's no data, just relax. But the best part? RRP is falling further. 📊 RSI: 42
⏰ Market Outlook Today (UTC):
00:00 - 02:00 🟢 (Market Up) – Trump’s tariffs are seen as discriminatory.
03:00 - 07:00 🟡 (Chill, No Major Data)
08:00 - 11:00 🟢 (Market Up) – China's M1 finally comes out, and it’s increasing.
12:00 - 15:00 🟡 (Waiting Mode) – Markets hold steady before Powell speaks.
16:00 - 00:00 🟢 (Market Up) – Powell’s speech + RRP dropping fuels the rally.
🔴 Trade War → Energy War → Sanctions War → Tariff & Embargo War → Maybe a Real War?
At the end of the day, the U.S. won’t give up its global dominance without a fight. Trump is going all out, and the world order is shifting.
It all starts in Palestine. That’s why all eyes are there—because money flows through oil, and oil is the real power. Unless Arab nations stay silent, things could go differently... 🌍⏳💰
Watch this week analysis here for further information=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 FEBRUARY
Our line and analysis was still right until now. Fundamental ALWAYS move the market, while Technical just for timing the market.🖐🏻😁
$BTC $ETH #PowellSpeech #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
Bitcoin is up—just as predicted, even though China’s M1 data got delayed. It was supposed to come out today. Meanwhile, RRP is dropping again, which is a good sign. The U.S. has no major data today, but later tonight, Powell is speaking, and he’s expected to be dovish (meaning he won’t push for aggressive policies)🚀🌕
If there's no data, just relax. But the best part? RRP is falling further. 📊 RSI: 42
⏰ Market Outlook Today (UTC):
00:00 - 02:00 🟢 (Market Up) – Trump’s tariffs are seen as discriminatory.
03:00 - 07:00 🟡 (Chill, No Major Data)
08:00 - 11:00 🟢 (Market Up) – China's M1 finally comes out, and it’s increasing.
12:00 - 15:00 🟡 (Waiting Mode) – Markets hold steady before Powell speaks.
16:00 - 00:00 🟢 (Market Up) – Powell’s speech + RRP dropping fuels the rally.
🔴 Trade War → Energy War → Sanctions War → Tariff & Embargo War → Maybe a Real War?
At the end of the day, the U.S. won’t give up its global dominance without a fight. Trump is going all out, and the world order is shifting.
It all starts in Palestine. That’s why all eyes are there—because money flows through oil, and oil is the real power. Unless Arab nations stay silent, things could go differently... 🌍⏳💰
Watch this week analysis here for further information=> MARKET MOVEMENT 10-14 FEBRUARY
Our line and analysis was still right until now. Fundamental ALWAYS move the market, while Technical just for timing the market.🖐🏻😁
$BTC $ETH #PowellSpeech #macroeconomy
source: @hoteliercrypto
Warns of Manipulating Interest Rates
Interest rates are the price of money.
When the central bank manipulates them, it sends the wrong signals to the market, leading to misallocated resources.
🔹 Example:
A country is broke and shouldn’t be lowering rates.
But if it does, investors assume a recovery is coming and start investing.
Reality check? The economy is still weak, and resources have already been used.
By the time the country is actually ready, resources are depleted.
If Trump really wants to fix the economy, America must restore a true free market.
According to Ron Paul, letting the government control money has only led to corruption, market distortions, inequality, and financial chaos.
---
What Does This Mean for Crypto?
✔️ M2 supply is increasing → Bitcoin will keep rising.
$BTC $ETH #inflation #macroeconomy
source : @zerohedge
Interest rates are the price of money.
When the central bank manipulates them, it sends the wrong signals to the market, leading to misallocated resources.
🔹 Example:
A country is broke and shouldn’t be lowering rates.
But if it does, investors assume a recovery is coming and start investing.
Reality check? The economy is still weak, and resources have already been used.
By the time the country is actually ready, resources are depleted.
If Trump really wants to fix the economy, America must restore a true free market.
According to Ron Paul, letting the government control money has only led to corruption, market distortions, inequality, and financial chaos.
---
What Does This Mean for Crypto?
✔️ M2 supply is increasing → Bitcoin will keep rising.
$BTC $ETH #inflation #macroeconomy
source : @zerohedge
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