Not everyone will make it this cycle.
You need to shift your mindset and detach from the crowd.
Start thinking differently.
In other words, when we set one specific goal, people will tend to optimize for that objective regardless of the consequences. This leads to ignoring other equally important factors of a situation.
Furthermore, let me tell you that most of the top signals mentioned on CT won't work this time.
What was an obvious top signal in 2017 wasn't in 2021, and the same goes for 2024-25.
We’re moving towards the right curve of the adoption rate, and now all retail knows about crypto - some heard about it in 2017, and then almost everyone heard about it in 2021.
Don't mix the signs of adoption with top signals. Don’t let the PTSD ruin your fun.
Another point to address is the shift of influence - BlackRock & Co. controls Bitcoin now.
They are the major ETF providers and own shares of each other. So, they control the sentiment around BTC now.
And they also own all the media platforms. They can literally shape the narrative as they want.
Let me re-phrase it like this:
If most of this run-up is driven by institutional bids, why would retail indicators be relevant?
The indicator for this cycle will come from the people who haven’t been onboarded yet.
Yes, It can be retail who still haven't touched crypto - "late majority" and "laggards" - but you gotta think on a bigger scale.
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Think of those countries with a sovereign wealth fund starting to diversify in $BTC. Some already invest in stocks, so it might be possible to see this scenario.
• Saudi Arabia - $400 billion
• Abu Dhabi - $800 billion
• China - $1 trillion
• Norway - $1 trillion
• Australia - $150 billion
• Qatar - $300 billion
• Singapore - $500 billion
Corporate Treasuries
We have already seen this in 2021 with Tesla purchasing $BTC and, more recently, with Reddit disclosing some of its crypto holdings.
The trend is just starting. Once you see daily headlines of companies diversifying their assets into
It might be rational to start derisking.
“The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios... The idea that you can actually predict what's going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market.
- George Soros.