#BTC
4 Phases of The Bitcoin Halving
1. Pre-Halving Rally
Approximately 42 days remain until the Bitcoin Halving in April 2024
And ~60 days before the Halving, a Pre-Halving rally tends to occur (light blue)
History has repeated in this respect
Now, Bitcoin is approximately halfway through its Pre-Halving Rally phase
In anticipation of the Halving, investors "Buy the Hype" in an effort to "Sell the News"
Short-term traders and speculators "Buy The Hype" several weeks before the Halving in anticipation of making a profit from this hype-fuelled rally
Then these speculators "Sell The News" to realise that profit, contributing to a Pre-Halving retrace which occurs only a handful of weeks before the Halving event itself
2. Final Pre-Halving Retrace
After the Pre-Halving Rally has concluded...
A Pre-Halving retrace tends to occur a few weeks before the Halving event itself (dark blue circle)
In 2016, this Pre-Halving retrace was -38% deep
In 2020, this Pre-Halving retrace was -20% deep
This Pre-Halving retrace can last multiple weeks and up to 77 days
3. Post-Halving Re-Accumulation
The Pre-Halving retrace is followed by multi-month re-accumulation (red)
This period can last up to 150 days (i.e 5 months)
Many investors get shaken-out in this stage due to boredom, impatience, and disappointment with lack of major results in their BTC investment in the immediate aftermath of the Halving
4. Post-Halving Parabolic Uptrend
Once Bitcoin breaks out from the re-accumulation area breakout into the parabolic uptrend (green)
It is during this phase Bitcoin experiences accelerated growth on its way to new All Time Highs
This phase tend to last just over a year (~385 days)
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