Fidelity Digital Assets research analyst Matt Hogan has indicated that failing to allocate Bitcoin could pose a greater risk to nations than making such an investment. According to Fidelity's latest research paper, countries are predicted to begin incorporating Bitcoin into their national strategic reserves in 2025, leading to significant growth in the cryptocurrency market.
Hogan stated, “We expect more nation-states, central banks, sovereign wealth funds, and government treasuries to seek strategic positions in Bitcoin.” He noted that these entities might draw inspiration from the successful approaches taken by Bhutan and El Salvador, which have seen considerable returns from their investments in a short period.
He cautioned that neglecting Bitcoin allocation could expose nations to risks associated with severe inflation, currency devaluation, and growing fiscal deficits. If the U.S. proceeds with plans for a Bitcoin strategic reserve, Hogan suggested that other nations might begin accumulating Bitcoin discreetly to avoid influencing the market and driving up prices.
Hogan also forecasted that digital asset-structured and managed products would “go mainstream” in 2025, emphasizing the remarkable success of spot Bitcoin and Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs). He anticipates that the success of these products will lead to the introduction of more structured passive and actively managed digital asset products in traditional finance.
Additionally, Hogan highlighted that tokenization is poised to be the “killer app” of 2025, predicting that on-chain value could rise from $14 billion to $30 billion by year-end. He remarked that while tokenization is often dismissed as a buzzword, its true potential in financial services and other sectors is just beginning to be realized.
Fidelity’s researchers advised investors to “prepare for acceleration” in the adoption, development, interest, and demand for digital assets. They believe that it is not too late for investors to engage in the digital asset movement and that we may be entering a new era for digital assets, one that could span years or even decades.