Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, has struggled to maintain its position above the $100,000 mark, prompting concerns about the future direction of the market. While some Bitcoin enthusiasts are hopeful for a surge in 2025, particularly with the potential return of the Trump administration, other market experts are turning their attention to altcoins. According to research from VanEck, altcoins may be poised to outperform Bitcoin in the current crypto landscape.
Matthew Sigel, VanEck’s Director of Digital Research, highlighted that the market capitalization, liquidity, and trading volume of Bitcoin often create conditions for altcoins to outpace it. Sigel notes that when new capital flows into the market, a “risk-on” sentiment drives investment toward emerging crypto sectors such as decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming, and NFTs, which further benefits altcoins.
VanEck also referenced Artemis’s Altcoin Season Index, which tracks how many of the top 50 altcoins outperform Bitcoin over a 90-day period. A value of 0.6 on this index marks the beginning of altcoin season, with a higher value indicating that Bitcoin's gains are shifting to altcoins. When the index reaches 0.8 or beyond, it signals a strong preference for altcoins over Bitcoin.
Unlike CoinMarketCap’s traditional altcoin season metric, Artemis's Altcoin Season Index uses a different calculation, suggesting that altcoin seasons start when 75% of the top 100 altcoins surpass Bitcoin in performance over 90 days. This index recently peaked at 87 on December 4, signaling a robust altcoin season. Many analysts, including Captain Faibik, believe that the current market conditions suggest altcoins are now on track to outperform Bitcoin in the near term.
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