Is the crypto bull run over ? 👀 😱📉
Markets are panicking after #Bitcoin fell from $108K to $96K in 48 hours. But don’t be fooled - this is not the end of the bull market.
Here’s why this dip is a massive opportunity 😱📉
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1/x The market panic is overblown.
Bitcoin is down 10% after a 54% pump in 40 days. This isn’t a crash - it’s healthy consolidation in a bull market.
Historically, corrections like these pave the way for higher highs.
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2/x Let’s zoom out.
Key support levels remain intact:
• Weekly 21 EMA: $79K
• Daily 200 EMA: $73K
Even a wick to these levels wouldn’t break the bull market structure. Higher highs and higher lows are still forming.
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3/x Why the panic then? Markets always overreact to FOMC announcements. Powell’s hawkish tone delayed the money printer Quantitative Easing (QE), but the big picture hasn’t changed.
The U.S. economy is stable, with unemployment dropping from 4.2% to 4.1% in recent months.
We’re far from a recession - a key risk for crypto.
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4/x Let’s break down the data:
The Fed cut rates by 25bps, as expected.
They’ll pause rate cuts in early 2025 to monitor inflation.
Inflation is 2.75%, higher than the Fed’s 2% target, delaying QE.
Unemployment is stable, signaling economic resilience.
Slower rate cuts aren’t bearish - they’re a sign of stability.
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5/x Here’s the important part: Powell’s cautious approach delays a recession. Historically, aggressive rate cuts signal economic trouble (e.g., 2008, 2020).
By moving slowly, the Fed buys time for the economy to stabilize, which is great for risk-on assets like crypto.
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6/x So, what about the money printer?
Quantitative tightening (QT) continues, with the Fed reducing its balance sheet. But this won’t last. The U.S. debt crisis ensures QE’s return.
Once QE begins, Bitcoin and crypto markets will explode. The timing is everything.
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7/x What are the signs QE is coming?
The Fed is already slowing QT. Since May, they’ve reduced asset sales from $60B/month to $25B/month.
Rising U.S. debt requires the Fed to step in and buy treasuries - this is inevitable.
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8/x The Fed won’t start quantitative easing (QE) until inflation drops further. Right now, inflation is at 2.75%, slightly above the Fed’s 2% target.
Once inflation stabilizes or the Fed adjusts its target, the money printer will come back on. Watch for shifts in the Fed’s language in early 2025.
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9/x If #Bitcoin is your focus, dips like this are buying opportunities. Even at $97K, the structure remains bullish.
Higher highs and higher lows are intact. The last local support is at $94K, and as long as Bitcoin stays above $79K, the uptrend is strong.
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10/x Altcoins, however, are more volatile.
Bitcoin dropped 10%, but most altcoins fell 20-30%. This is normal - altcoins have 2-3x the volatility of Bitcoin.
Stay cautious: If Bitcoin drops further, altcoins will follow. Use this time to focus on high-conviction projects.
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11/x Here’s the strategy to survive this volatility:
Avoid leverage.
Be prepared for Bitcoin to drop 10% and altcoins 20–30%.
Focus on the long-term - don’t get shaken out during temporary corrections.
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12/x Historically, the best gains come during periods of uncertainty like this. After the FOMC dust settles, here’s what to expect:
Bitcoin will likely consolidate around these price levels.
Altcoins will follow once Bitcoin stabilizes.
The next major rally aligns with Fed policy changes (QE).
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13/x Bitcoin’s bull runs often correlate with the Fed’s balance sheet. When QE resumes, Bitcoin and altcoins skyrocket.
Until then, patience is key. Watch the Fed’s actions, not just their words. The next critical FOMC dates are Jan 29 and Mar 19, 2025.
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14/x So to summarize, this isn’t the end of the bull market - it’s just a pit stop. The Fed’s cautious approach is delaying the inevitable: money printing and new all-time highs.
Zoom out, avoid leverage, and stay patient. The best is yet to come.
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What’s your plan during this dip? Let me know
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