Dec 13, 2024

6thTrade

AAVE has recently achieved a remarkable milestone, reaching a three-year high of $350, driven predominantly by substantial purchases from cryptocurrency whales. This revival in AAVE's price, marking the highest point since September 2021, comes amidst a broader resurgence in the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector.

Underlying Factors Fueling AAVE’s Surge:
Large-scale buying activities by crypto whales have injected significant liquidity into AAVE, catalyzing a 30% price increase within just 24 hours. The rise from under $100 at the beginning of the year to $350 exemplifies a near 300% surge, reinvigorating interest in not only AAVE but also other DeFi tokens like Curve (CRV), which has also seen notable gains.

Impact of Mean Dollar Invested Age:
A critical on-chain metric contributing to AAVE’s ascent is the Mean Dollar Invested Age (MDIA). This indicator measures the average age of all tokens on a blockchain, factoring in the price at which they were purchased. Typically, a rising MDIA suggests that tokens are being held dormant, which can stifle price growth. However, AAVE’s MDIA has been decreasing, indicating a rejuvenation of token circulation as long-held assets re-enter the market. This trend is usually associated with enhanced market activity and potential price uplifts.

Whale Activity and Market Dynamics:

Source: Santiment


The balance of AAVE held by addresses owning significant amounts of tokens (between 1 million and 10 million) has also increased notably. Specifically, from December 1 to December 12, these balances grew from $5.14 million to $5.40 million, showing an acquisition of 260,000 tokens by whales. This aggressive accumulation not only underscores the confidence of large-scale investors in AAVE’s potential but also adds upward pressure on its market price.

Technical Outlook and Price Predictions:
From a technical perspective, AAVE is currently performing strongly, trading above the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily chart—a bullish signal. The Ichimoku Cloud serves as a multifunctional indicator providing insights into support and resistance levels. Trading above the cloud suggests that AAVE enjoys robust support, fortifying the ongoing uptrend.

Given these dynamics, the prospect of AAVE hitting a target of $420 seems plausible if whale-driven momentum continues. Conversely, should this accumulation wane, there is a risk of retracement to lower support levels, potentially around $260.

Conclusion:
AAVE's recent price performance, supported by significant whale activity and favorable on-chain metrics, paints a bullish picture for the token. As it stands, AAVE appears well-positioned to capitalize on the growing enthusiasm in the DeFi space, potentially reaching new heights in the near term. However, as with all cryptocurrency movements, market dynamics can change rapidly, underscoring the importance of staying informed about both on-chain data and broader market trends.