𝗦𝗲𝗽𝘁𝗲𝗺𝗯𝗲𝗿 𝟭𝟵, 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰

US Last 2 times the Fed’s first cut was 50+ bps:

Jan 3, 2001

- S&P 500 fell ~39% next 448 days

- Unemployment rose another 2.1%

- Recession

Sep 18, 2007

- S&P 500 fell ~54% next 372 days

- Unemployment rose another 5.3%

- Recession

Sep 18, 2024

- ?

- ?

- ?