Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2025 on high volatility amidst geopolitical and economic news input. 2025 is the last year of this Bull Cycle, according to the Cycles Theory which for more than a decade has been very accurate at predicting Cycle Tops and Bottoms.
LGC, MMB and Pi Cycle
On today's analysis we present to you this view in more detail by displaying Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Channel (LGC) with the addition of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) and the Pi Cycle trend-lines. From the MMB we use its extremes, the 3SD above (red trend-line), which is the Mayer Top and the 3SD below (black trend-line), which is the Mayer Bottom. From the Pi Cycle we use a tighter range, its top trend-line (orange) and bottom trend-line (green), which form a zone that typically serves as more of a 'Fair Value' before the Bear Cycle's extreme selling and Bull Cycle's extreme buying (Parabolic Rally).
Current Cycle in 2025
As mentioned, BTC has entered the last year of its current Bull Cycle. Based on this cyclical pattern, the 3 previous Tops have been either on a November or December. As a result, we expect the new Cycle Top to start forming by November 2025. The last one was formed above the Pi Cycle Top (never hit the Mayer Top) and on the 2nd LGC Zone from the top.
This suggests that even if the price barely tests the bottom for the LGC 2nd Zone from the Top, by November 2025 we should be close to $200000. Technically the projected Peak Zone should be within the 180k - 200k range. That may still be below the Pi Cycle Top, so technically we can argue that it is a fair scenario to expect and not an overly optimistic.
Unrealistic or not, this is what 3 separate traditional long-term models suggest.
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If the biggest Altcoin Season in history is starting, it suggests a major shift in the cryptocurrency market where altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) are gaining significant momentum. This often happens when Bitcoin's dominance (its market share relative to the entire crypto market) declines, leading investors to explore opportunities in altcoins for potentially higher returns.

### Key Indicators of an Altcoin Season:
1. **Bitcoin Dominance Drops**: A noticeable decline in Bitcoin's dominance as funds flow into altcoins.
2. **High Trading Volumes in Altcoins**: A surge in trading activity for altcoins across major exchanges.
3. **Widespread Adoption and Use Cases**: Increased adoption of blockchain technologies supporting altcoins.
4. **Market Sentiment**: Bullish sentiment and hype around altcoin projects.
5. **DeFi and Layer-2 Growth**: Rising interest in decentralized finance (DeFi) and Layer-2 scaling solutions.

### Potential Opportunities:
- **New Projects**: Emerging altcoins with innovative use cases could see massive growth.
- **Established Coins**: Popular altcoins like Ethereum (ETH), Binance Coin (BNB), Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA) could perform well.
- **Meme Coins**: Speculative assets like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) often thrive in euphoric markets.
- **Gaming and Metaverse Tokens**: Projects in gaming and the metaverse could gain traction.

### Caution:
While the prospect of an "Altcoin Season" can be exciting, the market is highly volatile. It's crucial to:
- Do thorough research.
- Diversify your portfolio.
- Manage risks and avoid over-leveraging.
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